Categories: Technical Analysis

EURGBP set to regain bid tone around the 0.8300 level

The Euro is trading higher against the pound for the last couple of days. The pound traded lower yesterday, but the Euro managed to hold the ground pretty well. As a result, the EURGBP pair was pushed higher above the 0.8320 level. The pair has breached an important down-move trend line, as can be seen in the daily chart below. I think the pair might continue to trade higher in the short term.

Looking at the 4 hour chart of EURGBP, there are critical support levels at around the 0.8300 area, as can be seen below. This support area also coincides with the broken trend line. Once the pair pushes a bit lower from the current levels to around this area, makes a stop and forms a bullish divergence, then we can jump into a buy trade.

Alternatively, there is a channel forming on the hourly chart, as shown below. If the pair trades higher, and breaks this channel, then also we can enter into a buy trade.

Initial target should be around the 0.8420 level, and final could be around the 0.8460 level. Stop should be placed below the 0.8260 level.

Reviewing yesterday’s events and trades
Yesterday, was mostly a ranging day, except for the pound. The GBPUSD pair was seen under pressure yesterday, as the pair traded lower towards the 1.6600 level. The pair has registered a healthy decline, and a nice bearish candle on the daily chart. There were no major economic releases in the US yesterday, which caused ranging moves in the market. Earlier in the European session, the Italian industrial production data was released, which came better than expected. This helped the EURUSD to stay above the critical 1.3850 support level in the short term.

Fundamental Outlook for the day
Today in the European session, the UK industrial and manufacturing production data will be published. The market is expecting a stable outcome. So, any miss in the outcome may weigh further on the GBPUSD. On the other hand, if the result is better than expected, then it might help the pair to regain some ground. Later, in the NY session, there are only a handful of low-risk events lined up, including the wholesale inventories and JOLTs jobs openings data. In the next Asian session, the Australia’s home loans data and Westpac consumer sentiment will be published. One can expect some movements around these events.

This analysis is taken from today’s Daily Market Forecast, which also includes trade opportunities on: EURUSD, GBPUSD, EURCHF, NZDUSD, AUDJPY, OIL and GOLD.
Get it HERE: Vladimir’s Markets Forecast

Have a great and successful week friends. Happy trading!

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Vladimir Ribakov

Following 11+ years of trading experience, trading my own accounts as well as for hedge funds and brokerages, I have decided to fulfill my destiny and to personally mentor Forex and Commodities traders. When I released the “Broker Nightmare” (software that hides trades from brokers) 8 years ago, I found an overwhelming number of frustrated people who genuinely wanted to learn how to trade the Forex market, but instead found themselves scammed and misled. Over the years I have also release other trading systems based on my trading strategies, and met a lot of people on my worldwide Forex seminars. We’ve formed a close Forex community and we meet once or twice a year in various locations in Europe.

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