Tech giants led gains in stocks at the start of a week that will bring a raft of central-bank decisions from the US to England and Japan.
The megacap space outpaced the broader market on Monday. Alphabet Inc. jumped as Bloomberg News reported Apple Inc. is in talks to build Google’s Gemini artificial-intelligence engine into the iPhone. Just hours away from Nvidia Corp.’s AI conference — and chief Jensen Huang’s keynote — expectations are high for the chipmaker to deliver news that will sustain its blistering rally.
Investors may glean more on the Federal Reserve’s resolve to ease and how close Japan is to finally exiting negative interest rates as central banks set policy for almost half the global economy. The coming week features the world’s biggest agglomeration of decisions for 2024 to date, including judgments on the cost of borrowing for six of the 10 most-traded currencies.
“It’s a jam-packed week of central bank meetings,” said Win Thin and Elias Haddad at Brown Brothers Harriman. “There are sure to be some surprises and so today’s calm is likely to give way to greater volatility ahead.”
The S&P 500 halted a three-day slide, while the Nasdaq 100 climbed about 1.5%. Treasury 10-year yields advanced one basis point to 4.32%. The dollar was little changed. Nasdaq Inc. said it has resolved a technology glitch that disrupted premarket trading for almost three hours.
Besides AI optimism, equities have rallied on signs of a resilient economy.
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raised its projections for US economic and jobs growth for this year to account for a faster pace of immigration. Goldman now sees US gross domestic product increasing by 2.4% year-on-year in the fourth quarter, marking a 0.3 percentage-point upgrade on the previous forecast, mostly based on higher consumption.
Against the backdrop of strong growth and a jump in prices in January and February, Fed officials have repeatedly emphasized they’re in no rush to ease.
Bond yields are approaching a key level that could potentially disrupt the equity rally, according to Morgan Stanley strategists.
“We view 4.35% on the 10-year US Treasury yield as an important technical level to watch for signs that rate sensitivity may increase for equities,” a team led by Michael Wilson wrote in a note.
In earnings, FedEx Corp.’s outlook on Thursday will provide hints on the state of the US economy after the bellwether previously forecast a slight revenue decline this fiscal year because of “volatile macroeconomic conditions.”
Nike Inc., Lululemon Athletica Inc., General Mills Inc., and Darden Restaurants Inc. results will show whether consumers are pulling back on spending or trading down, especially with inflation hanging around.
Corporate Highlights:
Key events this week:
Some of the main moves in markets:
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