A rally in technology heavyweights lifted stocks, which also climbed on speculation that Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts will keep powering Corporate America.
Equities headed toward all-time highs, with the Nasdaq 100 rising 1.2%. A $5 billion investment from Nvidia Corp. in Intel Corp. drove the ailing chipmaker up 25%, the most in nearly four decades. Small caps, which tend to outperform during policy easing, approached their record.
Bonds erased gains after data showed jobless claims dropped by the most in nearly four years, suggesting companies are still holding onto workers. The data only reinforced Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s meeting-by-meeting message, said Ian Lyngen at BMO Capital Markets.
Fed officials lowered their benchmark rate by a quarter percentage point Wednesday and penciled in two more reductions this year aimed at supporting the labor market. Bets on easing have helped US stocks rally in recent weeks.
“The Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates during a time when stocks are at record highs and the economy is still growing,” said Robert Schein at Blanke Schein Wealth Management. “This dynamic is bullish for stocks.”
Now that rates have been moving lower and the Fed is looking to cut rates a few more times, Schein says he’s even more bullish on big tech and financial stocks.
“Big tech stocks tend to outperform during lower interest rate environments, and financials may see a boost from additional M&A and mortgage activity that may come about from lower rates,” Schein said.
Worries have been mounting for weeks that the S&P 500’s push to record after record risks becoming a bubble, with the index’s swollen valuation cited most often as cause for concern.
Critics point to the tech sector’s outsize influence on this year’s gain, with just five stocks, all megacap tech firms, driving about half of the advance. But a closer look shows tech giants have largely justified their elevated valuations with profit growth.
“For now, investors have happily bought every dip, largely thanks to AI-driven enthusiasm and consistently strong results from big tech,” said Fawad Razaqzada at City Index and Forex.com. “The concern is that if tech momentum cools, the rest of the market may struggle to justify current valuations.”
That leaves the rally vulnerable if investor confidence wavers, putting the S&P 500 forecast on a more cautious stance, he noted.
“We believe lower interest rates, robust earnings growth, and AI tailwinds will support further potential gains for global equities over the next year,” said Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi at UBS Global Wealth Management.
Investors under-allocated to equities and looking to manage timing risks should consider phasing in and using market dips to add exposure to preferred areas, she said.
Her firm estimates that the Fed will cuts rates by a further 75 basis points between now and the first quarter of next year.
At Ameriprise, Anthony Saglimbene says prospects for two more rate cuts in 2025 is a positive for equity markets and risk appetite in general heading into year-end.
But that is “if labor market conditions do not deteriorate much further, consumer spending remains stable, and Big Tech delivers on third-quarter profit expectations.”
Corporate Highlights:
Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
Currencies
Cryptocurrencies
Bonds
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