The start of a busy week for corporate earnings sent stocks toward a fresh record, with traders looking for signs of resilience amid tariff risks. Treasury yields and the dollar fell. The yen climbed as Japan’s Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba said he would carry on after an election setback.
In the absence of relevant economic data, Wall Street will remain squarely focused on company outlooks. The S&P 500 topped 6,300. Two members of the “Magnificent Seven” megacaps — Tesla Inc. and Google parent Alphabet Inc. — are due to report results this week. The stakes will again be high as traders look for an update on artificial-intelligence spending.
Investors will also keep a close eye on tariff headlines. European Union and US negotiators are heading into another week of intensive talks, as they seek to clinch a trade deal by Aug. 1, when US President Donald Trump has threatened to hit most EU exports with 30% tariffs.
To Matt Maley at Miller Tabak, it is becoming more evident that the Trump Administration is going to be tougher on the tariff issue going forward. So, it’s important to decide whether this is something the stock market is pricing in right now.
“Earnings season will move into full swing this week, and the guidance will be more important than usual,” he said. “This guidance is going to have create a very large increase in earnings estimates if the market is going to reach some of the targets that exist on Wall Street right now.”
The second-quarter earnings season is off to a ripping start, with consumer strength powering resilient corporate profits. Yet after hitting a series of all-time highs, the S&P 500 is trading at 22 times expected 12-month profits, leaving little room for error.
“While stocks may be due for a breather, we believe the bull market remains intact,” said Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi at UBS Global Wealth Management. “We maintain our June 2026 S&P 500 price target of 6,500, and recommend using volatility as an opportunity to phase into markets.”
Within US equities, she likes information technology, communication services, financials, health care, and utilities.
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