Fundamental Analysis

Top 5 Things to Know In the Market on Thursday

Source: Investing.com

REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach

Here are the top five things you need to know in financial markets on Thursday, August 4:

1. BoE expected to cut rates to new record low

The Bank of England (BoE) will announce its decision on monetary policy at 11:00AM GMT, or 7:00AM ET, with expectations for the British monetary authority to make its first policy move in more than seven years.

Consensus expects a 25 basis point cut to 0.25% and the quantitative easing total to remain unchanged £375 billion.

However, some individual experts such as JP Morgan think the BoE could take the rates to zero, while others such as BayernLB or Julius Baer suggested that the central bank could hold steady.

Other analysts also called for increases to the asset purchase program, leaving the door open to possible surprises.

2. Pound weakness ahead of expectations for the BoE to ease

The pound slipped lower against the U.S. dollar on Thursday, as investors remained cautious ahead of the BoE’s policy decision, due later in the day, amid mounting expectations for a rate cut.

GBP/USD hit 1.3279 during European morning trade, the session low; the pair subsequently consolidated at 1.3295, shedding 0.22%.

Of note, Reuters reported that speculators were holding record short positions on sterling, setting the scene for a sharp bounce in the pound if the BoE disappoints.

3. Weekly jobless claims to add another piece to labor market puzzle

After Wednesday’s positive read from the ADP employment report and ahead of Friday’s publication of the July Employment Report, investors looked ahead to the publication of theweekly jobless claims at 12:30GMT, or 8:30AM ET, to gauge the stated of the U.S. labor market.

Market participants will also pay heed to June factory orders out at 14:00GMT, or 10:00AM ET.

4. Traders take profit in oil after 3% surge

Oil prices edged lower on Thursday, after rallying more than 3% overnight after a larger-than-expected gasoline draw eased concerns about global supply glut.

U.S. crude oil futures fell 0.49% to $40.63 at 9:57AM GMT, or 5:57AM ET, while Brent oillost 0.88% to $42.72.

5. Global stocks broadly higher with BoE on tap

European and Asian stocks traded higher on Thursday as market participants looked ahead to what could be the first rate move by the BoE since March 2009.

U.S. futures pointed to a mixed open on Thursday as equities remained in a tight trading range despite the Dow managing to break a seven-day losing streak in the prior session. At 9:58AM GMT, or 5:58AM ET, the blue-chip Dow futures edged forward 10 points, or 0.05%,S&P 500 futures inched up 1 point1, or 0.03%, while the Nasdaq 100 futures traded down 6 points, or 0.12%.

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Vladimir Ribakov

Following 11+ years of trading experience, trading my own accounts as well as for hedge funds and brokerages, I have decided to fulfill my destiny and to personally mentor Forex and Commodities traders. When I released the “Broker Nightmare” (software that hides trades from brokers) 8 years ago, I found an overwhelming number of frustrated people who genuinely wanted to learn how to trade the Forex market, but instead found themselves scammed and misled. Over the years I have also release other trading systems based on my trading strategies, and met a lot of people on my worldwide Forex seminars. We’ve formed a close Forex community and we meet once or twice a year in various locations in Europe.

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