Bonds fell and the dollar rose as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell continued to push back against any hopes of lower interest rates.
US 10-year yields climbed nine basis points to 4.11%, extending moves that started on Friday after a blockbuster jobs report. Yields on debt from Australia to Germany rose. The Bloomberg Dollar Index traded near a two-month high and oil prices retreated.
Meanwhile, global stock markets were mixed. In the US, S&P 500 futures dipped, while European shares edged higher, supported by strong earnings from Italian lender UniCredit SpA.
The “danger of moving too soon is that the job’s not quite done,” Powell said in an interview on CBS’s 60 Minutes on Sunday. The comments add evidence to a view that traders have been over-eager in pricing in interest rate cuts and now need to dial back those expectations. Wall Street banks from Goldman Sachs Group Inc. to Barclays Plc are among those that have pushed back their predictions for the timing of the Fed’s first reduction.
“There’s still a lot of uncertainty as to how quickly they cut,” said James Rossiter, head of global macro strategy at Toronto Dominion Bank. “It’s a quiet week for data, so we’ll be watching central bankers very closely.”
The chance of a quarter-point of easing in March fell to almost 10% after Powell’s comments. Just four weeks ago, a move by then was considered a near certainty by investors.
Investors said they’ll be paying close attention to the lineup of central bank speakers this week for more clues about the direction of monetary policy. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee is scheduled to speak on Bloomberg TV later today, while Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester and Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari are due to provide remarks on Tuesday.
Corporate Highlights:
Some of the main moves in markets:
Stocks
Currencies
Cryptocurrencies
Bonds
Commodities
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