Fundamental Analysis

US Futures Rise After GDP; ECB Decision in Focus: Markets Wrap

US stock futures rose after data showed the US economy rebounded in the third quarter, with traders still digesting the European Central Bank’s decision to raise its policy rate and signal more tightening ahead.

Contracts on the S&P 500 climbed, while futures on the Nasdaq 100 wavered. The dollar trimmed gains and Treasuries pared losses after data showed that US gross domestic product advanced for the first time this year.

“On the one hand, it is good to see that the economy is continuing to grow and that should bode well for the stock market,” said Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer for Independent Advisor Alliance. “However, given that we are in the middle of an inflation fight, the Federal Reserve will likely feel that they need to continue to be aggressive in their rate hikes.”

A contraction in services and manufacturing, and fewer new home sales showed the Fed’s efforts to cool the economy seem to be bearing some fruit. Still, economists expect the Fed to hike by 75 basis points for the fourth time in a row when it meets next week.

A strong GDP reading could make the case for another jumbo rate hike in December, despite some investors expecting the Fed to slow its pace of tightening after its November meeting, Zaccarelli said.

Meanwhile, the Stoxx Europe 600 Index dropped after the ECB lifted its policy rate by 75 basis points, in line with expectations. The euro fell.

Key events this week:

  • Bank of Japan policy decision, Friday
  • US personal income, personal spending, pending home sales, University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday

Some of the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • Futures on the S&P 500 rose 0.4% as of 9:08 a.m. New York time
  • Futures on the Nasdaq 100 fell 0.1%
  • Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1%
  • The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 0.3%
  • The MSCI World index was little changed

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.4%
  • The euro fell 0.9% to $0.9989
  • The British pound fell 0.5% to $1.1569
  • The Japanese yen was little changed at 146.47 per dollar

Cryptocurrencies

  • Bitcoin fell 0.1% to $20,730.05
  • Ether rose 1.3% to $1,573.73

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries was little changed at 4.00%
  • Germany’s 10-year yield declined seven basis points to 2.04%
  • Britain’s 10-year yield declined four basis points to 3.53%

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.3% to $89.09 a barrel
  • Gold futures fell 0.4% to $1,662.90 an ounce
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Arvinth Akash

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