Fundamental Analysis

Wall Street Rattled By Caterpillar, Nvidia Warnings

U.S. stocks fell on Monday as weak forecasts from Caterpillar Inc and Nvidia Corp fueled worries about a slowdown in China taking a bigger bite off corporate profits.

Shares of Caterpillar, the world’s largest heavy equipment maker, fell 8.4 percent as its quarterly profit widely missed Wall Street estimates, hit by softening demand in China and higher manufacturing and freight costs. Its full-year earnings outlook also fell short of estimates.

Caterpillar was the biggest drag on the Dow and the S&P industrials index, which dropped 1.3 percent.

Nvidia tumbled 12.2 percent after the chipmaker cut its fourth-quarter revenue estimate by half a billion dollars on weak demand for its gaming chips in China and lower-than-expected datacenter sales.

Nvidia pulled down the Philadelphia semiconductor index by 1.7 percent, while the S&P technology index dropped 1.8 percent.

“The negative forecasts from Caterpillar and Nvidia point to those areas of concerns with trade, global economic activity and the potential impact of a strong dollar,” said Eric Wiegand, senior portfolio manager at U.S. Bank Wealth Management.

Earlier, China data showed earnings at industrial firms shrank for a second month in December, hit by slowing prices and weak factory activity amid a protracted U.S.-China trade war.

As signs of a slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy become stark, investors are pinning their hopes for a compromise between Washington and Beijing on trade when officials meet later this week.

“This is a week for investors to either move off their Christmas Eve lows or move lower. What we are getting is a merge of macros and micros. But right now, these micros, which are company specific issues, is what investors seem to be dealing with,” said Wiegand.

The downbeat corporate updates came in an earnings-heavy week that also includes the Federal Reserve’s first policy meeting this year and jobs data.

Although earnings have largely surpassed Wall Street’s expectations, helping the S&P 500 climb about 12 percent from its December lows, worries about slowing global growth have tempered expectations and put a lid on stocks.

Of the 113 S&P 500 components that have reported so far, 72.6 percent have beaten profit estimates, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.

Since the earnings kicked off two weeks ago, analysts’ estimates for fourth-quarter profit growth have stayed steady at about 14 percent, but expectations for 2019 earnings growth has dropped to 5.6 percent from 6.3 percent.

At 11:08 a.m. ET the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 346.03 points, or 1.40 percent, at 24,391.17, the S&P 500 was down 32.68 points, or 1.23 percent, at 2,632.08 and the Nasdaq Composite was down 103.63 points, or 1.45 percent, at 7,061.23.

Ten of the 11 major S&P sectors were lower. Amazon.com Inc, Apple Inc and Microsoft Corp — all set to report later this week — were down more than 2 percent, dragging down the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.

The S&P energy index dropped 1.4 percent as oil prices fell more than 2 percent after U.S. companies added rigs for the first time this year, a signal that crude output may rise further.

Guess Inc tumbled 16.5 percent after the apparel maker said Chief Executive Officer Victor Herrero will step down.

Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 2.16-to-1 ratio on the NYSE. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 1.95-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

The S&P index recorded six new 52-week highs and one new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 21 new highs and 21 new lows.

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Vladimir Ribakov

Following 11+ years of trading experience, trading my own accounts as well as for hedge funds and brokerages, I have decided to fulfill my destiny and to personally mentor Forex and Commodities traders. When I released the “Broker Nightmare” (software that hides trades from brokers) 8 years ago, I found an overwhelming number of frustrated people who genuinely wanted to learn how to trade the Forex market, but instead found themselves scammed and misled. Over the years I have also release other trading systems based on my trading strategies, and met a lot of people on my worldwide Forex seminars. We’ve formed a close Forex community and we meet once or twice a year in various locations in Europe.

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