Forex Weekly Forecast & Trade Strategy | June 9–13, 2025

Hello Traders, Vladimir here from Home Trader Club, with your latest Forex weekly forecast and strategic trade insights for June 9–13, 2025. This week, we’re closely analyzing the EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, and GOLD (XAUUSD). As always, our approach remains technical, strategic, and action-ready.

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🔵 EUR/USD Forecast: Key Levels to Watch

The EUR/USD remains in a critical technical zone, following a failed continuation to the downside. Price broke upwards after a minor pullback

but now presents two key scenarios:

✅ Bullish Scenario:

• If the EUR/USD holds the 1.1360–1.1320 support zone (marked by volume profile and KTLI multi-timeframe levels), we could see a bounce and continuation toward 1.17 and beyond.

 

❌ Bearish Scenario:

• A break below 1.1320 could trigger a renewed bearish cycle targeting 1.11–1.08, supported by a developing weekly hidden divergence.

 

 

• Trend snapshot: Momentum remains flat across 1-month, 7-day, and 24-hour views, suggesting indecision. A major move is likely in the coming weeks.

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🔵 GBP/USD Forecast: Peak Formation in Progress?

The GBP/USD has reached a major supply zone (1.35–1.3750), with early signs of exhaustion.

🔻 Bearish Outlook:

• A bearish divergence is forming (higher price, lower MACD/RSI), suggesting sellers are preparing to take over.

 

 

• If the pair breaks below recent lows and trendline support, short-term sell rallies could be triggered.

 

 

• Ideal setup: A final false breakout could complete the divergence before a drop toward mid-term lows.

 

 

On the lower timeframe if the price breaks below the low shown in the image below. If the price manages to break below this low in the on going three waves, then we could be looking sells at least on the short term.

 

 

 

🔺 Bullish Outlook:

• If the price holds above the key support zone, we could see one last push upward before correction.

 

📊 Trend Snapshot:

• 1-month trend: Bullish

• 7-day & 24-hour trend: Flat → Signals a decisive week ahead

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🔵 USD/JPY Forecast: Correction Before the Drop?

The USD/JPY appears to be forming a consolidation phase (triangle/channel structure), potentially leading to the next leg down.

🔽 Scenario 1:

• If the pair breaks below the volume profile zone, we could see a sharp drop toward 140.00 and below.

 

 

• Weekly structure suggests an incomplete corrective wave.

 

 

🔼 Scenario 2:

• If current support holds, expect one final upward move toward previous daily peaks before bears regain control.

 

 

• A retest of the 147.50–148.50 zone could occur before reversal.

📈 Trend Snapshot:

• Strong bullish movement over the past 1 month, 7 days, and 24 hours.

• Watch for exhaustion signs and reversal triggers.

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🟡 GOLD (XAU/USD) Forecast: Bearish Pressure Building

Gold has completed a rally from last week’s breakout and is now testing a critical support zone, formed by:

• Rising trendline

• Volume profile cluster

• Broken resistance now acting as support

 

 

🔽 Scenario 1:

• If price breaks below the trendline and the $3,250 key low, this may initiate a long-term bearish wave, possibly taking Gold below $3,000.

 

 

🔼 Scenario 2:

• Holding the current zone could trigger one final peak push toward $3,500, completing a divergence setup before a major reversal.

 

 

⚠️ Key Insight: Over 20 consecutive candles rode the Bollinger Bands without reaching the opposite band — historically a bearish omen. This behavior resembles previous setups before strong reversals.

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