Fundamental Analysis

Dow Hits Record High On Boost From Economy-linked Stocks; Nasdaq Drops

The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a record high on Monday on hopes that interest rates would remain lower for longer, while the S&P 500 was subdued as a slide in technology shares offset a surge in commodity-linked energy and material stocks.

The Nasdaq, on the contrary, dropped 1.5% as some of the market leaders of 2020 – Apple Inc (AAPL.O), Amazon.com Inc (AMZN.O), Facebook Inc (FB.O) and Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) – fell between 1.4% and 4%.

The materials sector (.SPLRCM) hit a record high as miners and makers of steel products gained after gold, copper and aluminum scaled new peaks.

The energy index (.SPNY) jumped to its highest in more than one year after a cyber attack on top U.S. pipeline operator Colonial Pipeline shuttered a fuel network that transports nearly half of the East Coast’s supplies.

The S&P 500 and the Dow ended at record closing highs on Friday as an unexpected slowdown in monthly jobs growth fueled bets that the U.S. Federal Reserve would remain accommodative for longer.

With latest economic reports depicting that the U.S. economy is not recovering at the explosive pace as previously forecast, inflation numbers and retail sales data this week could chart the next course for U.S. equities.

“Inflation data is pretty important from a market leadership perspective,” said Keith Parker, head of U.S. and global equity strategy at UBS.

“The number should come in strong, and probably contribute to another leg in the reflation value rotation.”

Breakeven rates on inflation on five-year and 10-year U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS), a proxy to inflation expectations, roared to their highest since 2011 and 2013 respectively.

The Russell 1000 value index (.RLV), which includes economically sensitive financials and energy stocks, added 0.9%, while its tech-heavy growth counterpart (.RLG) shed 1.1%.

At 11:32 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI) was up 299.59 points, or 0.86%, at 35,077.35, rising for the seventh straight session, while the S&P 500 (.SPX) was down 0.39 points, or 0.01%, at 4,232.21 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC) was down 205.65 points, or 1.50%, at 13,546.59.

Economy-linked financials (.SPNY), industrials (.SPLRCI) and healthcare (.SPXHC) hit fresh peaks and provided the biggest boost to the S&P 500.

Technology (.SPLRCT), communication services (.SPLRCL) and consumer discretionary (.SPLRCD) that house megacap technology-related stocks were the only S&P sectors in the red.

The NYSE FANG+TM index (.NYFANG) and Philadelphia semiconductor index declined nearly 3% each.

The Dow transports (.DJT), considered a barometer of economic health, added about 1.2%.

Cybersecurity firm FireEye (FEYE.O) rose 4.8% as industry sources said the company was among those helping Colonial Pipeline to recover from one of the most disruptive digital ransom schemes reported.

Tyson Foods Inc (TSN.N) dropped 2% after the U.S. meat processor warned rising costs would start to hit profits. read more

Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a 1.36-to-1 ratio on the NYSE. Declining issues outnumbered advancers for a 1.68-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.

The S&P index recorded 214 new 52-week highs and no new low, while the Nasdaq recorded 189 new highs and 110 new lows.

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Vladimir Ribakov

Following 11+ years of trading experience, trading my own accounts as well as for hedge funds and brokerages, I have decided to fulfill my destiny and to personally mentor Forex and Commodities traders. When I released the “Broker Nightmare” (software that hides trades from brokers) 8 years ago, I found an overwhelming number of frustrated people who genuinely wanted to learn how to trade the Forex market, but instead found themselves scammed and misled. Over the years I have also release other trading systems based on my trading strategies, and met a lot of people on my worldwide Forex seminars. We’ve formed a close Forex community and we meet once or twice a year in various locations in Europe.

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