Hi Traders! Ethereum short term forecast follow up and update is here. On February 2nd I shared this “Ethereum Short Term Forecast And Technical Analysis” post in our blog. In this post, let’s do a recap of this setup and see how it has developed now. If you would like to learn more about the way we trade and the technical analysis we use then check out the Home Trader Club. Spoiler alert – free memberships are available!
My Idea
On the H1 chart, based on the Heikin Ashi candles we can see that currently, we have strong bullish bodies in upward-moving market conditions so it basically reflects a bullish environment. In addition to this, we could see that the price which was moving higher has created higher highs based on the MACD indicator, which is a sign of gaining momentum towards the bullish side. Currently, it looks like a correction is happening, also we had two strong resistance zones that have formed and the price which was moving higher has broken above these zones and is holding above them. After the breakout, these strong resistance zones are acting as two strong support zones for us. So based on all this, until both these strong support zones shown in the image below(marked in green) hold my short-term view remains bullish here and I expect the price to move higher further after pullbacks.
Based on the above-mentioned analysis my short-term view was bullish here and I was expecting the price to move higher further until the two strong support zones hold. The price action followed my analysis here exactly as I expected it to. After the higher highs, the pullback that I was looking for happened with the price reaching the first strong support zone, respecting it and then it bounced higher from this zone. In addition to this, the price has also created a false break with a bullish divergence between the first low formed at 1608.32 and the second low formed at 1603.83 based on the MACD indicator. We may consider these as facts provided by the market supporting the short-term bullish view. The price then moved higher further and delivered a nice move to the upside before the price moved lower.
As traders we always have two choices, the first one is to fall in love with our analysis and try to convince the market and expect the price to move in the direction per our wish. The second one is to follow the facts that the market provides us and make the right actions according to that. As you know the first option won’t help us and as you can see in the example above what happened when we followed the facts that the market hinted to us and took the right action according to that.
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Happy Trading!
Arvinth Akash
Home Trader Club Team.
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