Forex Weekly Forecast (13 October 2025) – EURUSD, GOLD (XAUUSD), NZDUSD, S&P500 & EURAUD Analysis

Welcome traders, Vladimir Ribakov here from Home Trader Club with this week’s Forex Weekly Forecast. In today’s analysis, I’ll keep it short, clear, and straight to the point, focusing on key technical levels and trading setups for the week ahead.

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EUR/USD – Bearish Continuation Below Key Resistance

Last week, EUR/USD broke below its trendline support, confirming the bearish structure we’ve been monitoring. The pair continues to print lower highs and lower lows, showing no clear signs of reversal yet.

Currently, the previously broken support is acting as resistance, creating a supply zone where sellers are likely to step in. As long as this area holds, my plan is to sell the rallies.

📊 Trading Plan:

• Watch for a possible AB=CD pattern or small corrective climb followed by rejection.

• Look for bearish hidden divergence (lower highs on price vs. higher highs on MACD).

• A break below the volume profile balance zone would further confirm the bearish outlook.

🧭 Bias: Bearish
🎯 Key Resistance Zone: 1.0750–1.0800
🎯 Target Zones: 1.0600, 1.0500

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EURAUD – Potential Breakout from Daily Range

The EUR/AUD is forming a clean daily range, testing the upper boundary multiple times. The structure shows four touches on resistance — an indication of potential breakout pressure building up.

If the price breaks above the range and positions itself above the volume profile balance zone, I will look for retraces and bullish continuation setups.

📊 Trading Plan:

• Wait for a confirmed breakout and rejection from the top zone.

• Look for MACD momentum confirmation and candle structure pointing upward.

🧭 Bias: Bullish (upon breakout)
🎯 Key Resistance: 1.6380–1.6420
🎯 Targets: 1.6600, 1.6750

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GOLD (XAU/USD) – Watch for a False Break and Reversal Setup

Gold has rallied strongly above the psychological $4,000 level, but this move could be nearing exhaustion. I expect another potential high to form soon.

What I’m watching for is a false breakout scenario — higher highs on the chart but lower highs on the MACD, signaling a bearish divergence. This would hint at a possible reversal or corrective phase.

📊 Trading Plan:

• Watch for a failed breakout above $4,000–$4,020.

• A break below the rising trendline could trigger a sell opportunity.

• As long as the new peak holds, the sellers may step in aggressively.

🧭 Bias: Bearish Reversal Potential
🎯 Resistance Zone: $4,000–$4,050
🎯 Target Zones: $3,930, $3,880

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NZD/USD – Bearish Momentum Continues

The New Zealand Dollar remains under strong bearish pressure, maintaining its lower highs and lower lows pattern. While the 4-hour chart shows a slight slowdown, the daily trend remains bearish.

The key observation here is that broken supports have turned into resistances, providing ideal areas to look for short entries.

📊 Trading Plan:

• Wait for price to retrace into resistance zones around 0.5950–0.6000.

• Look for rejection candles and confirmation signals before entering shorts.

• Avoid entering early to prevent getting caught in temporary rallies.

🧭 Bias: Bearish
🎯 Resistance Zones: 0.5950–0.6000
🎯 Target Zones: 0.5850, 0.5800

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S&P 500 – Tariff News Breaks Structure

The S&P 500 reacted sharply to last week’s tariff news on Chinese minerals, shaking global markets — including indices and cryptocurrencies. The rising trendline is now broken, signaling potential weakness.

The broken support and last swing high now act as resistance and supply zones. I’ll be watching for retraces into this area for shorting opportunities, as long as the price stays below the dynamic resistance indicated by the volume profile.

📊 Trading Plan:

• Watch resistance levels at 6650–6660 (key balance area).

• Look for rejection signs and continuation to the downside.

🧭 Bias: Bearish
🎯 Resistance Zone: 6650–6660
🎯 Target Zones: 6550, 6480