Fundamental Analysis

Dollar Softer As Signs Of Deal To Reopen Hormuz Spur Risk Appetite

The dollar held around its lowest levels in a week in Asian trading on Monday as hopes of a deal to ​reopen the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil prices below $100 per barrel, even as the ‌U.S. played down the chances of reaching an agreement with Iran soon.

Against the yen , the U.S. dollar was down 0.2% at 158.9 yen, while the euro rose 0.3% to $1.1636 and the British pound gained ​0.3% to $1.3476.

Many global markets are closed for holidays on Monday, thinning liquidity across ​the region.

The Australian dollar advanced 0.5% at $0.7162, while its kiwi counterpart tacked ⁠on 0.4% to $0.5869.

“There are early signs that risk sentiment remains supported, early Sydney trade ​revealing a broad-based selloff in the USD, with ‘riskier’ currencies like the AUD benefitting as ​a result,” analysts from Westpac wrote in a research note.

The U.S. dollar index , which measures the greenback’s strength against a basket of six currencies, slipped 0.1% to an intraday low of 98.95, its ​weakest level since May 18.

Oil markets tumbled on hopes of a peace ​deal, with Brent crude prices down 5.4% to $97.91 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate was ‌at $91.10 a ⁠barrel, off 5.7%.

Over the weekend, there were conflicting signs on a peace deal. U.S. President Donald Trump said on social media on Saturday that a memorandum of understanding on a peace deal with Iran had been “largely negotiated,” with both countries and mediators in Pakistan ​reporting progress.

However, on Sunday ​Trump said on Truth ⁠Social the U.S. blockade on Iranian ships in the Strait of Hormuz would “remain in full force and effect until an agreement is reached, ​certified, and signed”. There was no immediate response from Iran’s ​government.

In the ⁠markets, there was cautious optimism that a deal would eventually be reached.

“Markets have become conditioned to be incredibly patient on a tangible breakthrough, but the base case of a deal remains firm, with ⁠the weekend ​news providing further conviction, even if the timing ​remains unclear,” said Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone Group Ltd in Melbourne.

Bitcoin was up 0.5% at $76,961.76, while ​ether was flat at $2,091.65.

Source

Arvinth Akash

Recent Posts

Forex Weekly Forecast: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, Gold & Bitcoin Analysis – July 6, 2026

The first week of July has already delivered significant volatility across the financial markets. Following…

19 hours ago

Weekly Summary And Review 3rd July 2026

Hi Traders! Arvinth here from the Home Trader Club team. The weekly summary and, review of July…

3 days ago

Wall St Rises As Softer Jobs Data Calms Rate-Hike Fears

Wall Street's main indexes rose on Thursday as ​a softer-than-expected employment report for June tempered…

4 days ago

Forex Market Analysis & Day Trading Opportunity | USDJPY | 2 July 2026

Hi Traders! USDJPY short term forecast and technical analysis is here. We do our analysis…

4 days ago

NZDUSD Short Term Forecast Update And Follow Up

Hi Traders! NZDUSD short term forecast update and follow up is here. On May 6th,…

5 days ago

Forex Market Analysis & Day Trading Opportunity | USDCHF | 1 July 2026

Hi Traders! USDCHF short term forecast and technical analysis is here. We do our analysis…

5 days ago