Welcome to this week’s Forex forecast from Home Trader Club. In this outlook, we break down the key technical setups and macro drivers for GBP/USD, EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY, and Bitcoin, with a strong focus on price action, volume zones, and high-probability trading scenarios.

This week is expected to be high-impact and volatile, driven by major interest rate decisions and inflation data across global economies.

🔎 Macro Overview – High Volatility Week Ahead

Before diving into charts, it’s important to understand the broader market context.

This week includes:

• 🇯🇵 Japan interest rate decision (Monday)
• 🇦🇺 Australia CPI data (Tuesday)
• 🇨🇦 🇺🇸 Canada & US rate decisions (Wednesday)
• 🇪🇺 🇬🇧 Europe & UK rate decisions (Thursday)

👉 With multiple central banks in focus, expect:

• Increased market volatility
• Strong speculative moves
• Potential false breakouts and manipulations

This environment favors technical precision and patience.

Before we dive into the charts, a quick reminder:
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Let’s go straight into the charts.

 

📊 GBP/USD Forecast – Bullish Continuation with Possible Trap Move

Technical Overview

The GBP/USD remains structurally bullish after holding a strong support confluence:

• Daily 50 & 200 moving averages acting as dynamic support
• Strong volume profile demand zone

• Breakout from consolidation on the H4 chart

Scenarios to Watch

Scenario 1 (Ideal):

• Pullback → continuation → break above recent highs

Scenario 2 (Manipulation Move):

• Short-term drop (liquidity grab)
• Followed by strong bullish expansion

👉 Key Insight:
Even if price dips, it is likely to be a corrective move before continuation higher.

Trading Bias: Bullish

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📉 EUR/GBP Forecast – Bearish Structure Remains Intact

Higher Timeframe Context

• Weekly bearish divergence suggests downside continuation
• Expectation: Completion of two-wave move lower

Daily & H4 Structure

• Clear pattern of:
  • Lower highs
  • Lower lows
• Price trading inside a bearish channel
• Strong resistance confluence:
  • 50 & 200 moving averages
  • Volume profile zone

👉 As long as price stays below the channel highs, sell setups dominate.

Trading Strategy

• Look for pullbacks into resistance
• Target continuation to the downside

 

 

Trading Bias: Bearish

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📊 EUR/JPY Forecast – Potential Major Reversal Setup

Key Observation

• Developing bearish divergence on the weekly timeframe

• Bearish divergence on the monthly timeframe. Price approaching overbought conditions

What This Means

We are likely nearing:

• A final push higher
• Followed by a significant downside correction

 

 

Critical Setup

Watch for:

• Higher highs on price
• Lower highs on MACD

👉 This divergence confirmation could signal a major sell opportunity.

Trading Bias: Wait for Confirmation → Then Bearish

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₿ Bitcoin Forecast – Selling Opportunity After Exhaustion

Current Market Structure

• Break of previous lows → bearish signal
• Price now in retracement phase

Key Resistance Zone

• Previous seller control range
• Spike zone acting as supply area

Price Behavior Insight

• Slowing bullish momentum
• Smaller candles → buyer exhaustion

👉 This is classic compression before reversal

Expected Scenario

• Short-term retrace higher
• Move into resistance zone
• Then sell-off continuation

Trading Bias: Bearish on rallies

 

Pro Trading Tip

Every forecast above is paired with two scenarios. Why? Because great trading is not about being right — it’s about being ready. Let the market confirm the bias. Use your system, manage risk, and execute only when the structure and confirmation align.

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Wishing you a profitable week ahead!

Vladimir Ribakov
Internationally Certified Financial Technician
Home Trader Club