Hi Traders! Oil forecast update and follow up is here. On August 27th I shared this “Oil Forecast” in Trading View. In this post, let’s do a recap of this setup and see how it has developed now. If you would like to learn more about the way we trade and the technical analysis we use then check out the Traders Academy Club. Spoiler alert – free memberships are available!
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Now let’s summarize the idea first:
Based on the above-mentioned analysis I was expecting a correction to happen here until the strong resistance zone holds. The price was holding the strong resistance zone, respected it, and is currently moving lower as I expected it to. You can see this move clearly on the H4 chart.
On the H4 chart, the market provided us with facts supporting the bearish view. First of all, we had a bearish divergence between the first high that has formed at 43.50 and the second high that has formed at 43.76 based on the MACD indicator. Then the price moved lower and broke below the most recent uptrend line. Most importantly there were no contradictory signs. The price then moved lower further as I expected it to delivering a fantastic move to the downside.
(Note: You can learn about a Killer Forex Strategy “Double Trend Line Principle” here)
(Note: You can follow me here on Trading View and also on my blog to get similar ideas on a daily basis)
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To your success,
Vladimir Ribakov
Certified Financial Technician
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