Fundamental Analysis

Sterling hits lowest in three decades, yen surges as Brexit slams markets

An employee is seen walking over a mosaic of pound sterling symbols set in the floor of the front hall of the Bank of England in London, in this March 25, 2008 file photograph. REUTERS/Luke Macgregor/files

Sterling suffered its most volatile session in living memory and hit its lowest level since the 1985 Plaza Accord as the Leave camp looks increasingly likely to win Britain’s referendum on its EU membership, triggering a rush into the safe-haven yen.

The euro also dropped more than three percent against the dollar while the Swiss franc firmed along with the yen, though the wild moves made traders wary of intervention by Group of Seven countries.

The pound fell as much as 9.4 percent to $1.3462 <gbp=d4>, its cheapest level since September 1985, when five major economies at the time agreed to weaken the dollar. At 0345 GMT, it was hovering at $1.3509.

“It is wild,” said Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist at AMP Capital in Sydney.

“There is still a way to go yet,” Oliver added. “Even if the vote is to leave, there is a lot of water to go under the bridge before Britain actually leaves the EU. We don’t know what sort of deal they are going to cut with the EU.”

Against the yen, sterling ricocheted between 135.30 and 160.14 (GBPJPY=R) and was last at 137.32, down a massive 13 percent on the day.

The euro rose 6 percent to 81.20 pence (EURGBP=R), hitting its highest level in more than two years.

The euro fell 3.6 percent against the dollar to $1.0975 <EUR=>, a low last seen in March.

The plunge in European currencies lifted the dollar index <=USD> 3 percent, which, if sustained, would be its biggest daily gain since 1978.

The sharp moves raised worries that global policymakers may take action to support the pound.

“We need to be careful about intervention in such a case.  I think there’s more than enough excuse for G7 to intervene,” said Koichi Yoshikawa, executive director of finance atStandard Chartered (LON:STAN) Bank.

As Brexit anxiety grew, so too has demand for the safe-haven yen, which jumped on the greenback and euro.

The greenback dropped to 99.00 yen, a fall of 6.7 percent, before gaining a semblance of stability at 101.50 yen, the first time it fell below the 100 mark since late 2013.

The euro fell to as low as 109.50 yen (EURJPY=R) for the first time since late 2012.

The safe-haven Swiss franc also gained against the euro, which fell to 1.0710 franc (EURCHF=R), its lowest since August.

 

Source: Reuters

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Vladimir Ribakov

Following 11+ years of trading experience, trading my own accounts as well as for hedge funds and brokerages, I have decided to fulfill my destiny and to personally mentor Forex and Commodities traders. When I released the “Broker Nightmare” (software that hides trades from brokers) 8 years ago, I found an overwhelming number of frustrated people who genuinely wanted to learn how to trade the Forex market, but instead found themselves scammed and misled. Over the years I have also release other trading systems based on my trading strategies, and met a lot of people on my worldwide Forex seminars. We’ve formed a close Forex community and we meet once or twice a year in various locations in Europe.

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