Fundamental Analysis

Treasuries Rally As Bleak Jobs Spur Fed-Cut Bets: Markets Wrap

Treasuries rally as bleak jobs spur Fed-Cut bets. Strong evidence of a cooling US labor market rippled through Wall Street, spurring a rally in bonds as traders boosted their bets the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December. The dollar fell. Stocks wavered.

With the scarcity of data caused by the federal shutdown, investors have turned to private readings such as the Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc. report showing companies announced the most job cuts for any October in over 20 years. Following the numbers, money markets now imply an about 60% chance of a quarter-point rate reduction next month.

“We are sticking to our view that the Fed will deliver a follow-up 25 basis-point cut in December because restrictive Fed policy can worsen the already fragile employment backdrop and upside risk to inflation are not materializing,” said Elias Haddad at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co.

Arvinth Akash

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