Hi Traders! Arvinth here from the Home Trader Club team. The weekly summary and, review of May 3rd 2024 is here. It is now time to recap and summarize the trade setups that we had during this week. Below you will find a short explanation of all the trade setups we had this week and how it has currently developed now.
Litecoin – My idea here was “Looking at the H4 chart, we could see that the price which is moving lower has created lower lows based on the MACD indicator, which is a sign of gaining momentum toward the bearish side. In addition to this, the ADX indicator gave a bearish signal here at the cross of -DI (red line) versus +DI (green line) and the main signal line (silver line) reads value over 25 which we may consider as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. Also, we had two strong support zones that has formed and the price which was moving lower has broken below these zones and is holding below them, we may consider this as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. Currently, these strong support zones are acting as strong resistance zones for us. Until these two strong resistance zones (marked in red) shown in the image below hold my short term view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further after pullbacks”.
Current Scenario – In Litecoin, the price action is following the bearish expectations so far. My plan didn’t change here, that is, I expect the price to move lower further in the short term after pullbacks until the two strong resistance zones (marked in red) shown in the image below holds.
EURNZD – My idea here was “On the H1 chart, based on the Heikin Ashi candles we can see that currently, we have strong bullish bodies in upward moving market conditions so it basically reflects a bullish environment. In addition to this, the price has broken above the most recent downtrend line and is holding above it, which we may consider as evidence of bullish pressure. Also, we could see that the price which is moving higher has created higher highs based on the MACD indicator, which is another sign of gaining momentum towards the bullish side. In addition to this, the ADX indicator gave a bullish signal here at the cross of +DI (green line) versus -DI (red line) and the main signal line (silver line) reads value over 25, we may consider this as yet another evidence of bullish pressure. Also, currently, there are no signs opposing this bullish view. So everything looks good here for the bulls and until the strong support zone (marked in green) shown in the image below holds my short-term view remains bullish here and I expect the price to move higher further after pullbacks”.
Current Scenario – The price action didn’t follow my analysis here and this idea failed. After the higher highs, the price which was moving lower reached the strong support zone but the price didn’t hold in this zone as I expected it to. The price moved lower further and we got a valid breakout below this strong support zone thus invalidating the bullish view. My current view on EURNZD is neutral.
Oil – My idea here was “On the H4 chart, based on the Heikin Ashi candles we can see that currently, we have strong bearish bodies in downward moving market conditions so it basically reflects a bearish environment. In addition to this, the price which is moving lower has created a bearish trend pattern in the form of three lower highs, lower lows which we may consider as evidence of bearish pressure. Generally, after a bearish trend pattern, we may expect corrections and then further continuation lower. Also, the price which is moving lower has created lower lows based on the MACD indicator, which is another sign of gaining momentum toward the bearish side. In addition to this, the ADX indicator gave a bearish signal here at the cross of -DI (red line) versus +DI (green line) and the main signal line (silver line) reads a value over 25 which we may consider as another evidence of bearish pressure. Also, we had a strong support zone that has formed and the price which is moving lower has broken below this zone and is holding below it, we may consider this as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. Currently, this strong support zone is acting as a strong resistance zone for us. Until this strong resistance zone (marked in red) shown in the image below holds my short term view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further after pullbacks”.
Current Scenario – My plan still remains the same in Oil, that is until the strong resistance zone holds my short term view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further after pullbacks.
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Happy Trading!
Arvinth Akash
Home Trader Club Team.
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Was great week