Hi Traders! Arvinth here from the Home Trader Club team. The weekly summary and, review of May 5th 2023 is here. It is now time to recap and summarize the trade setups that we had during this week. Below you will find a short explanation of all the trade setups we had this week and how it has currently developed now.
NZDUSD – My idea here was “On the H1 chart, the price which is moving higher has created a bullish trend pattern in the form of three higher highs, higher lows, we may consider this as evidence of bullish pressure. Generally, after a bullish trend pattern, we may expect corrections and then potential continuation higher. In addition to this, the ADX indicator gave a bullish signal here at the cross of +DI (green line) versus -DI (red line) and the main signal line (silver line) reads value over 25, we may consider this as yet another evidence of bullish pressure. Currently, it looks like a correction is happening, also we had two strong resistance zones that has formed and the price which was moving higher has broken above these zones and is holding above them. After the breakout these strong resistance zones are acting as two strong support zones for us. Until both these strong support zones shown in the image below(marked in green) holds my short term view remains bullish here and I expect the price to move higher further after pullbacks”.
Current Scenario – Based on the above-mentioned analysis my short term view was bullish here and I was expecting the price to move higher further until the two strong support zones hold. After the bullish trend pattern the price didn’t provide the deeper pullback that I was looking for and it continued the rally after smaller pullback and has delivered 130+ pips move so far!
EURGBP – My idea here was “On the H1 chart, the price which is moving lower has created a bearish trend pattern in the form of three lower highs, and lower lows which we may consider as evidence of bearish pressure. Generally, after a bearish trend pattern, we may expect corrections and then a further continuation lower. Currently, it looks like a correction is happening. In addition to this, the ADX indicator gave a bearish signal here at the cross of -DI (red line) versus +DI (green line) and the main signal line (silver line) reads a value over 25 which we may consider as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. Also, we had two strong support zones that have formed and the price which was moving lower has broken below these zones and is holding below them, we may consider this as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. Currently, these strong support zones are acting as strong resistance zones for us. Until these two strong resistance zones (marked in red) shown in the image below hold, my short-term view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further”.
Current Scenario – In EURGBP, on the H1 chart, my short-term view was bearish and I was expecting the price to move lower further until the two strong resistance zones hold. The price action followed my analysis exactly as I expected it to here. After the bearish trend pattern, the pullback that I was looking for happened with the price reaching the first strong resistance zone, respected it and moved lower from this zone. The price then moved lower further and delivered around 100 pips move to the downside!
NZDCAD – My idea here was “On the H4 chart, based on the Heikin Ashi candles we can see that currently, we have strong bullish bodies in upward moving market conditions so it basically reflects a bullish environment. Also, the price which is moving higher has created a bullish trend pattern in the form of three higher highs, higher lows, we may consider this as another evidence of bullish pressure. Generally, after a bullish trend pattern, we may expect corrections and then potential continuation higher. Currently, it looks like a correction is happening. Also, we could see that the price which was moving higher has created higher highs based on the MACD indicator, which is a sign of gaining momentum towards the bullish side. In addition to this, the ADX indicator gave a bullish signal here at the cross of +DI (green line) versus -DI (red line) and the main signal line (silver line) reads value over 25, we may consider this as yet another evidence of bullish pressure. So everything looks good here for the bulls and until the strong support zone (marked in green) shown in the image below holds my short-term view remains bullish here and I expect the price to move higher further after pullbacks”.
Current Scenario – In NZDCAD, I mentioned that until the strong support zone holds my short-term view was bullish and I expect the price to move higher further. The price action is following the bullish expectations so far, my plan still remains the same here.
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Happy Trading!
Arvinth Akash
Home Trader Club Team.
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