Hi Traders! CADJPY short term forecast update and follow up is here. On July 16th I shared this “CADJPY Technical Analysis And Short Term Forecast” post in our blog. In this post, let’s do a recap of this setup and see how it has developed now. If you would like to learn more about the way we trade and the technical analysis we use then check out the Home Trader Club. Spoiler alert – free memberships are available!
As an Internationally Certified Financial Technician (CFTe, IFTA) and former private capital hedge fund trader, I have successfully mentored numerous students who are now thriving in the trading world. Students who learned with me, are now full-time traders, work in the trading industry, run their own capital firms or are fully funded traders by private companies, develop automated trading solutions and manage others’ capitals. I am a very proud mentor and I am proud of the success stories I’ve helped create, and for a limited time, I’m offering my mentorship program for free through a partnership with Eight Cap broker. Join Eight Cap, become an active trader, and choose the offer that suits you best –
For more details, visit: Home Trader Club Mentorship Program
I’m excited to work with you and help you reach your desired level of success!
My Idea
On the H1 chart, based on the Heikin Ashi candles we can see that currently, we have strong bearish bodies in downward-moving market conditions so it basically reflects a bearish environment. In addition to this, the price which is moving lower has created a bearish trend pattern in the form of three lower highs, and lower lows which we may consider as evidence of bearish pressure. Generally, after a bearish trend pattern, we may expect corrections and then a further continuation lower. Currently, it looks like a correction is happening. Also, we had a strong support zone that has formed and the price which is moving lower has broken below this zone and is holding below it, we may consider this as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. Currently, this strong support zone is acting as a strong resistance zone for us. Until this strong resistance zone (marked in red) shown in the image below holds my short term view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further after pullbacks.
On the H1 chart, based on the above mentioned analysis my short term view was bearish in this pair and I was expecting the price to move lower further after pullbacks until the strong resistance zone holds. The price action followed my analysis exactly as I expected it to here. After the bearish trend pattern, the pullback that I was looking for happened and then the price moved lower further as I expected it to and delivered 1300+ pips move to downside!
On the M15 chart, the market provided us with various facts supporting the bearish view. The price, which was moving higher, created a bearish divergence between the first high, formed at 114.815 and the second high, formed at 115.164 based on the MACD indicator. The price then moved lower and broke below the most recent uptrend line. We may consider these as facts provided by the market supporting the bearish view, and also there were no signs opposing this bearish view. Then as you can see in the image below, how the price moved lower further after that and provided an extraordinary move to the downside!
So, traders, this is why I wanted to show this example to help you understand how important it is to follow the facts. The facts were supporting the bearish view here and there were no signs against it. When the facts do happen as we expected you can see how the price perfectly moved as per the plan. Because these are the kind of hints the market provides us at the majority of the time and it’s our obligation as traders to be able to listen to these things that the market tells us and we should try to make the right actions accordingly.
For similar trade ideas and much more I invite you to
Also, you can get one of our strategies free of charge. You will find all the details here
Download our best forex indicators here
If you have any further questions, don’t hesitate to drop a comment below!
Happy Trading!
Arvinth Akash
Home Trader Club Team.
Hi Traders! Arvinth here from the Home Trader Club team. The weekly summary and, review of November…
U.S. stock index futures were little changed on Thursday as investors awaited a fresh batch…
Hi Traders! Silver technical analysis and short term forecast is here. We do our analysis…
Hi Traders! SP500 short term forecast update and follow up is here. On November 5th,…
Hi Traders! Today I am sharing with you the GBPCAD technical analysis and short term…
Hi Traders! Bitcoin short term forecast follow up and update is here. On August 28th,…
