Categories: Fundamental Analysis

Kiwi Dollar Nosedives Post Retail Sales Report

  • New Zealand Dollar collapsed against most major currencies, including the US Dollar after the Retail Sales report was published.
  • New Zealand Retail Sales released by the Statistics New Zealand registered a rise of 0.1% in the second quarter of 2015, compared with the preceding quarter which was lower compared with the forecast.
  • In the Euro Zone, the French Gross Domestic Product released by INSEE posted no change in the second quarter of 2015 whereas the market was expecting a rise of 0.2%.
  • NZDUSD moved lower and looks set for more losses in the near term.
  • New Zealand Retail Sales

    Earlier during the Asian session, there was a major release in New Zealand. The Retail Sales report, measuring the total receipts of retail stores was published by the Statistics New Zealand. The market was expecting an increase of 0.5% in sales for the second quarter of 2015, compared with the preceding quarter. However, the result was disappointing, as the New Zealand Retail Sales gained by 0.1%. Looking at the yearly change, the total sales value was $18.9 billion in the second quarter of 2015, which was up by 4.1 percent and was also higher than the second quarter of 2014.

    Furthermore, the New Zealand Core Retail Sales data was also on the lower side. It increased 0.1%, but was a lot lower, compared with the last rise of 2.9%.

    Commenting on the report, the business indicators manager, Neil Kelly, stated that “Although just over half the industries had sales volume increases this quarter, they were modest in size compared with growth in recent quarters”. There was a downside reaction noted in the NZDUSD pair, as it moved lower by more than 40 pips during the past session.

    NZDUSD Technical Analysis

    The NZDUSD pair declined after the release, and traded near the 0.6500 support area. The pair is now below the 100 simple moving average on the 4-hours chart, which is a bearish sign in the near term. Moving ahead, more losses cannot be discarded if the 0.6500 support area is cleared.

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    Vladimir Ribakov

    Following 11+ years of trading experience, trading my own accounts as well as for hedge funds and brokerages, I have decided to fulfill my destiny and to personally mentor Forex and Commodities traders. When I released the “Broker Nightmare” (software that hides trades from brokers) 8 years ago, I found an overwhelming number of frustrated people who genuinely wanted to learn how to trade the Forex market, but instead found themselves scammed and misled. Over the years I have also release other trading systems based on my trading strategies, and met a lot of people on my worldwide Forex seminars. We’ve formed a close Forex community and we meet once or twice a year in various locations in Europe.

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