Hi Traders! Arvinth here from the Home Trader Club team. The weekly summary and, review of June 21st 2024 is here. It is now time to recap and summarize the trade setups that we had during this week. Below you will find a short explanation of all the trade setups we had this week and how it has currently developed now.
Dax – My idea here was “On the H4 chart, based on the Heikin Ashi candles we can see that currently, we have strong bearish bodies in downward moving market conditions so it basically reflects a bearish environment. In addition to this, the price which is moving lower has created a bearish trend pattern in the form of three lower highs, lower lows which we may consider as evidence of bearish pressure. Generally, after a bearish trend pattern, we may expect corrections and then further continuation lower. Also, the price which is moving lower has created lower lows based on the MACD indicator, which is another sign of gaining momentum toward the bearish side. Also, we had a strong support zone that has formed and the price which is moving lower has broken below this zone and is holding below it, we may consider this as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. Currently, this strong support zone is acting as a strong resistance zone for us. Until this strong resistance zone (marked in red) shown in the image below holds my short term view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further after pullbacks”.
Current Scenario – In DAX, until the strong resistance zone holds I was expecting short term bearish moves to happen after pullbacks. The price action is following the bearish expectations so far, my plan still remains the same here.
USDCHF – My idea here was “On the H4 chart, currently, we have a strong bearish momentum and the price which is moving lower has broken below a strong support zone and is holding below it, we may consider this as evidence of bearish pressure. After the breakout, this strong support zone is acting as a strong resistance zone for us. Also, the price which is moving lower has created a bearish trend pattern in the form of three lower highs, lower lows which we may consider as evidence of bearish pressure. Generally, after a bearish trend pattern, we may expect corrections and then further continuation lower. Also, based on the Heikin Ashi candles we can see that currently, we have strong bearish bodies in downward moving market conditions so it basically reflects a bearish environment. In addition to this, the ADX indicator gave a bearish signal here at the cross of -DI (red line) versus +DI (green line) and the main signal line (silver line) reads value over 25 which we may consider as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. So the bottom line here is that, everything looks good here for the bears and I expect the price to move lower further in the short term after pullbacks until the strong resistance zone (marked in red) shown in the image below holds”.
Current Scenario – My plan still remains the same in USDCHF, that is until the strong resistance zone holds my short term view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further after pullbacks.
AUDUSD – My idea here was “On the H4 chart, after the strong bullish move currently, it looks like a correction is happening in the form of a range. This range is formed by the highs and lows reaching parallel support and resistance zones. The price which is moving inside this range has currently reached near the top of the range. In addition to this, the ADX indicator gave a bullish signal here at the cross of +DI (green line) versus -DI (red line) and the main signal line (silver line) reads value over 25, we may consider this as evidence of bullish pressure. So everything looks good here for the bulls and a valid breakout above the top of the range would be the validation for this bullish view. Alternatively, if we get a valid breakout below the bottom of this range then this bullish view will be invalidated”.
Current Scenario – The validation for the short term bullish view which is a valid breakout above the top of the range, didn’t happen yet. My plan didn’t change here, that is “a valid breakout above the top of the range would be the validation for this bullish view. Alternatively, if we get a valid breakout below the bottom of this range then this bullish view will be invalidated”.
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Happy Trading!
Arvinth Akash
Home Trader Club Team.
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