Hi Traders! Arvinth here from the Home Trader Club team. The weekly summary and, review of January 5th 2024 is here. It is now time to recap and summarize the trade setups that we had during this week. Below you will find a short explanation of all the trade setups we had this week and how it has currently developed now.
USDCAD – My idea here was “On the H1 chart, currently we have a strong bullish momentum and based on the Heikin Ashi candles we can see that currently, we have strong bullish bodies in upward moving market conditions so it basically reflects a strong bullish environment as well. In addition to this, we could see that the price which is moving higher has created higher highs based on the MACD indicator, which is a sign of gaining momentum towards the bullish side. Also the price which was creating a series of lower highs, lower lows has now made a turn around and has created higher highs for the first time in a while, which we may consider as another evidence of bullish pressure. In addition to this, the ADX indicator gave a bullish signal here at the cross of +DI (green line) versus -DI (red line) and the main signal line (silver line) reads value over 25, we may consider this as yet another evidence of bullish pressure. So everything looks good here for the bulls and until the strong support zone (marked in green) shown in the image below holds my short-term view remains bullish here and I expect the price to move higher further after pullbacks”.
Current Scenario – In USDCAD, I was expecting the price to move higher further after pullbacks until the strong support zone holds. The price action followed my analysis exactly as I expected it to here. The pullback that I was looking for happened and then the price moved higher further and has delivered a nice move to the upside so far!
AUDUSD – My idea here was “On the H1 chart, the price which is moving lower has created a bearish trend pattern in the form of three lower highs, lower lows which we may consider as evidence of bearish pressure. Generally, after a bearish trend pattern, we may expect corrections and then further continuation lower. Currently it looks like a correction is happening and also based on the Stochastic Oscillator we could see that the price has reached it’s extreme which we may consider as another evidence of bearish pressure. In addition to this, currently there are no signs opposing this short term bearish view. Also, we had two strong support zones that has formed and the price which is moving lower has broken below these zones and is holding below them, we may consider this as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. Currently, these strong support zones are acting as strong resistance zones for us. Until these two strong resistance zones (marked in red) shown in the image below hold my short term view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further”.
Current Scenario – Based on the above-mentioned analysis my short term view was bearish here and I was expecting the price to move lower further until the two strong resistance zones hold. The price action followed my analysis exactly as I expected it to here. The price respected the first strong resistance zone and then it moved lower further and delivered a nice move to the downside so far!
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Happy Trading!
Arvinth Akash
Home Trader Club Team.
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View Comments
Nice trade Sir. Join the audusd sell but with this NFP, I think trend on DXY sell will continue. What your thoughts, non of this is financial advice. Thanks 👍
Thanks Chucks, unfortunately, I don't have a clear view on DXY at the moment. It looks a bit tricky to me.