Fundamental Analysis

Dollar Edges Higher As EUR/USD Falls on German Political Uncertainty

The dollar rose sharply against a basket of major currencies on Monday, benefitting from a slump in the euro amid growing political uncertainty in German after Chancellor Angela Merkel failed to form a three-way coalition.

Political uncertainty swept across Germany on Monday, weighing on the euro, after talks to form the country’s next government collapsed overnight, raising questions about the future leadership of position of Angela Merkel.

The slump in the euro pushed the dollar to a nearly one-week high against its rivals but gains were capped by an uptick in sterling amid fading Brexit woes.

The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback’s strength against a trade-weighted basket of six major currencies, rose by 0.31% to 93.90.

GBP/USD rose 0.17% to $1.3236 on reports that the British government was set to make the European Union an improved offer for the final financial divorce settlement.

The reports sparked investor hopes that Brexit proceedings can finally progress onto more pressing issues such as future trading terms as disagreements between the UK and EU on the so-called EU divorce bill was said to be one of the main factors contributing to the recent deadlock in Brexit negotiations.

Elsewhere USD/JPY made strong gains, rising 0.40% to Y112.54 as renewed investor appetite for riskier assets reduced demand for safe-haven yen.

USD/CAD rose 0.23% to C$1.2788 as slump in the oil prices continued to weigh on the oil sensitive Canadian dollar.

The move higher in the greenback comes just days after data showed speculators cut their bearish bets on the dollar for the seventh straight week.

Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large speculators, had an overall US dollar net position totalling -$643 million, the lowest since mid-July, according to the latest data from the CFTC and Reuters.

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Vladimir Ribakov

Following 11+ years of trading experience, trading my own accounts as well as for hedge funds and brokerages, I have decided to fulfill my destiny and to personally mentor Forex and Commodities traders. When I released the “Broker Nightmare” (software that hides trades from brokers) 8 years ago, I found an overwhelming number of frustrated people who genuinely wanted to learn how to trade the Forex market, but instead found themselves scammed and misled. Over the years I have also release other trading systems based on my trading strategies, and met a lot of people on my worldwide Forex seminars. We’ve formed a close Forex community and we meet once or twice a year in various locations in Europe.

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