Fundamental Analysis

Global Stocks Head for Fresh Record on U.S. Aid: Markets Wrap

Stocks rose with a global gauge heading for records as a wave of stimulus optimism buoyed equities from Germany to Japan. The dollar slipped with Treasuries.

European equities rose more than 1% with almost every industry subsector in the green. U.S. futures climbed and the MSCI ACWI Index touched its highest level. President Donald Trump approved the combined $2.3 trillion Covid-19 relief and government funding package after U.S. lawmakers backed his proposal to boost stimulus checks.

Meanwhile, the U.K.’s Christmas Eve accord with the European Union propelled the FTSE 100 Index 2.6% higher, while the pound recouped some of Monday’s decline.

Elsewhere, crude oil pared an overnight loss as investors focused on new supply from OPEC+. Bitcoin fell back after a rally over the holiday pushed it past $28,000 for the first time.

Investors are cheering the U.S. aid package, sending the S&P 500 Index, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite to all-time highs Monday even as the pandemic escalates. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. upgraded its first-quarter U.S. economic growth forecast because of the measure.

“Where we are right now in the equity market is somewhat of a sweet spot,” Michael Cuggino, president and portfolio manager at Permanent Portfolio Family of Funds, said on Bloomberg TV. “We’ve got stimulus, likely more on the way. You’ve got great comps on earnings going into next year with respect to equities, and you have a pent up demand situation as the economy both in the U.S. and globally comes out of Covid.”

On the coronavirus front, more restrictions are being imposed to fight the spread of the new, more infectious strain. Covid-19 hospitalizations in the U.S. reached new highs, while Southern California plans to extend a regional stay-at-home order. South Korea’s daily toll of fatalities rose to a record, while Thailand reported its first virus death since November.

Here are some key events coming up:

  • U.S. pending home sales and goods trade balance data are due Wednesday.
  • U.S. initial jobless claims figures are published Thursday.
  • Most global stock markets are closed Friday for New Year’s Day.

These are the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • Futures on the S&P 500 Index climbed 0.5% as of 9:40 a.m. London time.
  • The Stoxx Europe 600 Index advanced 1.2%.
  • The MSCI Asia Pacific Index surged 1%.
  • The MSCI Emerging Market Index increased 0.5%.

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index sank 0.3%.
  • The euro increased 0.2% to $1.2245.
  • The British pound advanced 0.3% to $1.3493.
  • The onshore yuan strengthened 0.1% to 6.529 per dollar.
  • The Japanese yen strengthened 0.2% to 103.64 per dollar.

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries advanced two basis points to 0.94%.
  • The yield on two-year Treasuries climbed one basis point to 0.13%.
  • Germany’s 10-year yield declined one basis point to -0.57%.
  • Japan’s 10-year yield was unchanged at 0.025%.
  • Britain’s 10-year yield dipped four basis points to 0.214%.

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude increased 1% to $48.12 a barrel.
  • Brent crude gained 1.1% to $51.40 a barrel.
  • Gold strengthened 0.4% to $1,882.03 an ounce.

Source

Vladimir Ribakov

Following 11+ years of trading experience, trading my own accounts as well as for hedge funds and brokerages, I have decided to fulfill my destiny and to personally mentor Forex and Commodities traders. When I released the “Broker Nightmare” (software that hides trades from brokers) 8 years ago, I found an overwhelming number of frustrated people who genuinely wanted to learn how to trade the Forex market, but instead found themselves scammed and misled. Over the years I have also release other trading systems based on my trading strategies, and met a lot of people on my worldwide Forex seminars. We’ve formed a close Forex community and we meet once or twice a year in various locations in Europe.

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