Categories: Technical Analysis

Negative signals indicate losses to extend for USDJPY

The US dollar has recently gained some momentum against the Japanese yen. However, the USDJPY pair is heading towards a critical resistance zone in the short term. If the pair climbs from the current levels towards the 103.00 resistance zone, makes a stop and creates a bearish divergence, then we can jump into a sell trade.

Alternatively, there is a channel forming on the 4 hour chart for the USDJPY pair. There is also a support area at around the 102.10-00 levels. If the pair manages to break the mentioned support zone, then we can jump into a sell trade once the pair retraces back to re-test the broken support zone. Remember, wait for the pair to close below the support zone to avoid any false break trading.

Initial target should be around the 101.40, and final target could be around the 101.10 level. Stop should be placed above 103.10 in the first scenario, and above the broken support zone in the second case.

Reviewing yesterday’s events and trades
Yesterday, there were hardly any major economic releases during the London and the New York session. The only economic release was the Canadian housing starts data, which came better than expected. The market was mostly seen trading in a range throughout the day. However, earlier during the Asian session, the Chinese CPI data was published, which managed to register a better than expected reading. This has resulted in a bullish mood in the market, as the pairs like EURUSD, AUDUSD and NZDUSD were seen trading higher.

Fundamental Outlook for the day
Today, during the New York session, the US wholesale inventories data, National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Small Business Optimism Index and JOLTs job openings data will be published. These are not high-risk events, but can cause some moves in the market. Later during the Asian session, the Australian Westpac consumer sentiment data will be released, which could impact the Australian dollar in the short term.

This analysis is taken from today’s Daily Market Forecast, which also includes trade opportunities on: EURUSD, USDCAD, NZDUSD and AUDUSD.
Get it HERE: Vladimir’s Markets Forecast

Have a great trading week friends. Happy trading!

Vladimir Ribakov

Following 11+ years of trading experience, trading my own accounts as well as for hedge funds and brokerages, I have decided to fulfill my destiny and to personally mentor Forex and Commodities traders. When I released the “Broker Nightmare” (software that hides trades from brokers) 8 years ago, I found an overwhelming number of frustrated people who genuinely wanted to learn how to trade the Forex market, but instead found themselves scammed and misled. Over the years I have also release other trading systems based on my trading strategies, and met a lot of people on my worldwide Forex seminars. We’ve formed a close Forex community and we meet once or twice a year in various locations in Europe.

Recent Posts

Why Winning Trades Can Sometimes Make Traders More Dangerous

A winning trade feels good. A series of winning trades feels even better. Confidence increases.…

2 days ago

Forex Weekly Forecast: EUR/USD, USD/JPY, NZD/USD & Gold – Key Trading Opportunities

The Forex and commodities markets are entering an interesting phase, with renewed inflation concerns, expectations…

5 days ago

Hawkish vs Dovish: How Central Banks Language Moves Forex

Central banks do more than change interest rates. They also influence financial markets through the…

1 week ago

Why Good Economic News Can Sometimes Make a Currency Fall

When traders first learn fundamental analysis, one of the easiest assumptions to make is: Good…

2 weeks ago

What Is Spread in Forex? How Trading Costs Affect Your Profits

When you open a Forex trade, you may be focused on one thing: Will price…

2 weeks ago

Forex Trading Sessions Explained: The Best Times to Trade London, New York, and Asia

The Forex market is open around the clock during the trading week, but that does…

3 weeks ago