Weekly Summary And Review June 24th 2022

Hi Traders! Arvinth here from Traders Academy Club team. Weekly summary and review June 24th 2022 is here. It is now time to recap and summarize the trade setups that we had during this week. Below you will find the short explanation of all the trade setups we had this week and how it has currently developed now.

Trading Ideas (Blog Posts)

NZDCAD – My idea here was “On the H4 chart, the price which was moving lower reached a key support zone that has formed based on the 100%(0.80848) Fibonacci expansion level of the first wave and the 61.8%(0.80677) Fibonacci expansion level of the second wave. The price respected this key support zone and bounced higher from this zone. In addition to this, we could see that the price which was moving lower created a bullish divergence that has formed between the first low that has formed at 0.80740 and the second low that has formed at 0.80289 based on the MACD indicator. The price then moved higher and broke above the last high at 0.81840 creating higher highs, thus forming a classical setup of bullish divergence followed by bullish convergence. Hence as per the book scenario, after a bullish convergence, we may look for corrections to happen and then further continuation to the upside. Currently, it looks like a correction is happening. Also, based on the Stochastic Oscillator we could see that the price has reached its extreme which we may consider as yet another evidence favoring this short term bullish view. So based on all this, until the key support zone shown in the image below (marked in green) holds my short term view remains bullish here and I expect the price to move higher further after pullbacks”.
Current Scenario – In NZDCAD my short term view was bullish and I was expecting the price to move higher further until the key support zone holds. The price action is moving as per my analysis here, we had a pullback and then the price which is currently moving higher has delivered 80+ pips move so far.

GBPCAD – My idea here was “On the H4 chart, the price which was moving lower created a bullish divergence that has formed between the first low that has formed at 1.57091 and the second low that has formed at 1.54828 based on the MACD indicator. The price then moved higher and broke above the last high at 1.58830 creating higher highs, thus forming a classical setup of bullish divergence followed by bullish convergence. Hence as per the book scenario, after a bullish convergence, we may look for corrections to happen and then further continuation to the upside. Currently it looks like a correction is happening. Also, we had two strong resistance zones that has formed and the price which was moving higher has broken above these zones and is holding above them. After the breakout these strong resistance zones are acting as two strong support zones for us. Until both these strong support zones hold my short term view remains bullish here and I expect the price to move higher further”.
Current Scenario – My short term expectation was bullish in GBPCAD and I was expecting the price to move higher further until the two strong support zones hold. The price action moved as per the plan here. After the bullish convergence we had a pullback and the price which was moving lower reached the first strong support zone, respected it and moved higher from this zone delivering 170+ pips move so far!

EURJPY – My idea here was “On the H1 chart, we could see that the price which was moving higher has created a bearish divergence between the first high that has formed at 144.008 and the second high that has formed at 144.243 based on the MACD indicator. The price then moved lower and broke below the last low at 142.668 creating lower lows, thus forming a classical setup of bearish divergence followed by bearish convergence, we may consider these as evidences of bearish pressure. Generally, after a bearish convergence we may look for corrections and then further continuation lower. Currently, it looks like a correction is happening. In addition to this, the ADX indicator gave a bearish signal here as well at the cross of -DI (red line) versus +DI (green line) and the main signal line (silver line) reads value over 25 which we may consider as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. Until the key resistance zone (marked in red) holds my short term view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further after pullbacks”.
Current Scenario – Based on the above-mentioned analysis my short term view was bearish here and I was expecting the price to move lower further after pullbacks until the key resistance zone holds. The price action followed my analysis exactly as I expected it to here, after the bearish convergence we had a small pullback and then the price moved lower further delivering around 120 pips move!
You can see this move clearly on the M15 chart below.

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