Hi Traders! CADJPY technical analysis and short term forecast post is here. We do our analysis on the MetaTrader4 platform (MT4), some very interesting, useful tips and hacks about the MT4 platform could be found here. If you would like to learn more about the way we trade and the technical analysis we use then check out the Home Trader Club Spoiler alert – free memberships are available!
On the H4 chart, we have a bearish divergence that has formed between the first high which has formed at 100.277 and the second high which has formed at 100.877 based on the MACD indicator. The price then moved lower and broke below the last low at 99.035 thus forming a classical setup of bearish divergence followed by bearish convergence, we may consider this as evidence of bearish pressure. As per the book scenario after a bearish convergence, we may expect corrections and then a further continuation lower. Currently, it looks like a correction is happening. In addition to this, the price has also broken below the most recent uptrend line which we may consider as another evidence of bearish pressure. Also, the ADX indicator gave a bearish signal here at the cross of -DI (red line) versus +DI (green line) and the main signal line (silver line) reads value over 25 which we may consider as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. So everything looks good here for the bears and until the strong resistance zone (marked in red) shown in the image below holds my short-term view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further.
(Note: You can learn about a Killer Forex Strategy “Double Trend Line Principle” here)
It is always recommended to look for confirmations before you jump into any trade. If you are not sure about how to trade this short-term sell setup then you can use any setup and strategy that you have in your arsenal to look for bearish moves and join this sell trade.
Also, don’t forget to protect your sell trade using a stop loss and make sure to set a target and keep a proper risk/reward ratio.
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Happy Trading!
Arvinth Akash
Home Trader Club Team
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