EURNZD Short Term Forecast Update And Follow Up

Hi Traders! EURNZD short term forecast update and follow up is here. On December 3rd, 2025 I shared this “Forex Market Analysis & Day Trading Opportunity | EURNZD| 3 December 2025” post in our blog. In this post, let’s do a recap of this setup and see how it has developed now. If you would like to learn more about the way we trade and the technical analysis we use then check out the Home Trader Club. Spoiler alert – free memberships are available!

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My Idea

On the H1 chart, we have a strong bearish momentum and also currently there are no signs opposing this short term bearish view. So everything looks good for the bears here as well. In addition to this, we have two key resistance zones that has formed based on the volume profile zones of the KTLI indicator and the Triple B Pro pivot levels. Until both these key resistance zones shown in the image below (marked in red) holds my short term view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further after retraces.

 

 

 

EURNZD H1(1 Hour) Chart Current Scenario

Based on the above-mentioned analysis my short term view was bearish here and I was expecting the price to move lower further until the two key resistance zones hold. The price action followed my analysis exactly as I expected it to here. The price which was moving higher reached the first resistance zone, created a false break of it, moved lower from this zone and delivered 600+ pips move to the downside as you can see in the image below!

 

 

You can see this move clearly on the H4 chart.

 

 

We had facts supporting the bearish view on the H4 chart. After the strong bearish move, we had a flat correction in the form of a range and the price which was respecting this range moved lower and broke below the bottom of it. We may consider this as a hint provided by the market supporting the bearish view and also there were no signs opposing this bearish view. The price then moved lower further and provided an excellent move to the downside as you can see in the image below.

 

 

As traders we always have two choices, the first one is to fall in love with our analysis and try to convince the market and expect the price to move in the direction as per our wish. The second one is to follow the facts that the market provides us and make the right actions according to that. As you know the first option won’t help us and as you can see in the example above what happened when we followed the facts that the market hinted to us and took the right action according to that.

For similar trade ideas and much more I invite you to

 

Happy Trading!

Arvinth Akash
Home Trader Club Team.