Hi Traders! US Dollar Index technical analysis and short-term forecast is here. We do our analysis on the MetaTrader4 platform (MT4). Some very interesting and useful tips and hacks about the MT4 platform could be found here. If you would like to learn more about the way we trade and the technical analysis we use then check out the Home Trader Club Spoiler alert – free memberships are available!
On the daily chart, the price which was moving lower reached a strong support zone where the psychological level 100 coincides, the price respected it and bounced higher from this zone. Also, we could see that the price which was moving lower has created a bullish divergence between the first low formed at 104.909 and the second low formed at 100.492 based on the MACD indicator, we may consider these as evidences of bullish pressure. In addition to this, the ADX indicator gave a bullish signal here, at the cross of +DI (green line) versus -DI (red line) and the main signal line (silver line) reads a value over 25, we may consider this as yet another evidence of bullish pressure. Also, currently, there are no signs opposing this bullish view. So everything looks good here for the bulls and we may now move down to lower timeframe and see if we can find evidences supporting this short term bullish view.
On the H4 chart, the price which was moving lower reached a strong support zone, respected it and bounced higher from this zone. Also, we had a bullish divergence that has formed between the first low that has formed at 101.377 and the second low that has formed at 100.492 based on the MACD indicator which we may consider as evidence of bullish pressure. The price then moved higher and broke above the high at 102.253 thus creating higher highs. Also, the price has broken above the most recent downtrend line and is currently holding above it, we may consider these as other evidence of bullish pressure. So based on all this, my short-term view remains bullish here and I expect the price to move higher further after pullbacks until the strong support zone (marked in green) shown in the image below holds.
US Dollar Index D1(Daily) Chart Analysis
US Dollar Index H4(4 Hours) Chart Analysis
It is always recommended to look for confirmations before you jump into any trade. If you are not sure about how to trade this short-term buy setup then you can use any setup and strategy that you have in your arsenal to look for bullish moves and join this buy trade.
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Arvinth Akash
Home Trader Club Team
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