Forex Market Ideas

AUDCHF Short Term Forecast And Technical Analysis

Hi Traders! AUDCHF short-term forecast and technical analysis is here. We do our analysis on the MetaTrader4 platform (MT4). Some very interesting, useful tips and hacks about the MT4 platform could be found here. As we do in every technical analysis post we are going to perform the multi-timeframe technical analysis on this pair in order to find possible trading opportunities. If you would like to learn more about the way we trade and the technical analysis we use then check out the Home Trader Club  Spoiler alert – free memberships are available! Let’s start our analysis now from the highest timeframe which will be the H4 chart here.

AUDCHF H4(4 Hours) Chart Analysis – Heikin Ashi Candles, Bearish Convergence, ADX Indicator

On the H4 chart, currently, we have a strong bearish momentum and based on the Heikin Ashi candles we can see that currently, we have strong bearish bodies in downward moving market conditions so it basically reflects a bearish environment. In addition to this, we have a bearish divergence that has formed between the first high that has formed at 0.57891 and the second high that has formed at 0.57910 based on the MACD indicator. The price then moved lower and broke below the last low at 0.57506 thus forming a classical setup of bearish divergence followed by bearish convergence, we may consider this as evidence of bearish pressure. As per the book scenario after a bearish convergence we may expect corrections and then further continuation lower. Currently it looks like a correction is happening. In addition to this, the ADX indicator gave a bearish signal here at the cross of -DI (red line) versus +DI (green line) and the main signal line (silver line) reads value over 25 which we may consider as another evidence of bearish pressure. So everything looks good here for the bears and we may now move down to lower timeframe and look for evidences supporting this short term bearish view.

 

AUDCHF H1(1 Hour) Chart Analysis – Strong Resistance Zone, Bearish Trend Pattern, Stochastic Oscillator

On the H1 chart, we have a strong resistance zone that has formed and the price which is moving higher reached this zone, respected it and bounced lower from this zone. Also, the price which is moving lower has created a bearish trend pattern in the form of three lower highs, lower lows which we may consider as evidence of bearish pressure. Generally, after a bearish trend pattern, we may expect corrections and then further continuation lower. Currently it looks like a correction is happening and also based on the Stochastic Oscillator we could see that the price has reached it’s extreme which we may consider as another evidence of bearish pressure. So the bottom line here is that, everything looks good here as well for the bears and I expect the price to move lower further in the short term after pullbacks until the strong resistance zone (marked in red) shown in the image below holds.

 

 

Technical Analysis & Forecast Summary

AUDCHF H4(4 Hours) Chart Analysis 

  • Heikin Ashi Candles, Bearish Convergence, ADX Indicator

AUDCHF H1(1 Hour) Chart Analysis 

  • Strong Resistance Zone, Bearish Trend Pattern, Stochastic Oscillator

 

Trading Tips

It is always recommended to look for confirmations before you jump into any trade. If you are not sure about how to trade this short-term sell setup then you can use any setup and strategy that you have in your arsenal to look for bearish moves and join this sell trade.

Also, don’t forget to protect your sell trade using a stop loss and make sure to set a target and keep a proper risk/reward ratio.

You will also find a pretty extensive database of educational materials here in the blog – just use the search or check out the Forex Education section above.

Not sure how to enter a trade? Spot reversals (bounces)? Not sure how to spot breakouts?

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If you have any further questions, don’t hesitate to drop a comment below!

 

Happy Trading!

Arvinth Akash
Home Trader Club Team.

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Arvinth Akash

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