Fundamental Analysis

Bond sell-off keeps investors on edge

Dealers work on a trading floor at BGC Partners in the Canary Wharf business district in London, Britain September 12, 2016. REUTERS/Toby Melville
By Vikram Subhedar | LONDON

Rising bond yields, sparked in part by deepening worries over the difficulty of the world’s major central banks to stimulate growth, kept investors in broadly risk-off mode on Wednesday

The possible spillover effects of rising bond yields into stock and commodity markets has hit financial assets as funds, betting on a long period of low volatility and suppressed bond yields, are being forced to reassess positions.

European shares gave up almost all their early gains dragged lower by shares of major banks. The STOXX 600 is down 3.3 percent over the past week.

Euro zone bond yields rose across the board after European Central Bank Executive Board member Sabine Lautenschlaeger said the central bank should hold off on new monetary easing measures.

Most yields touched their highest levels since Britain’s vote to leave the European Union in late June, extending a rise that started after the ECB’s policy meeting last week, when it disappointed investors by introducing no new easing measures.

German 10-year bond yields — the bloc’s benchmark — rose 2 basis points to 0.05 percent on Wednesday, having climbed as high as 0.09 percent in early trades.

“Markets have continued to be spooked by the potential for central banks to scale back the level of monetary support on almost a global basis,” Peter Chatwell, head of euro rates strategy at Mizuho said.

“Lautenschlaeger’s comments did little to ease fear of withdrawal of central bank’s support.”

Morgan Stanley said trades most vulnerable to any unwind, are equities as well as bullish bets on the Japanese yen, emerging market currencies and Asia ex-Japan bonds.

Reports that the Bank of Japan would persist with further monetary easing, including taking interest rates deeper into negative territory sent the yen to a one-week low against the dollar.

The dollar was flat against a basket of currencies, having hit a one-week high the previous day, just a week before the U.S. Federal Reserve’s next policy meeting begins. Markets are pricing in just a 15 percent chance that interest rates will be hiked this month, according to CME FedWatch.

Oil prices recovered after falling as much as 3 percent in the previous session.

Brent crude futures were trading at $47.41 per barrel at 0758 GMT, up 0.6 percent, from the last settlement. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures were up 38 cents, or 0.9 percent, at $45.28 a barrel.

 

Source: Cnn.com

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Vladimir Ribakov

Following 11+ years of trading experience, trading my own accounts as well as for hedge funds and brokerages, I have decided to fulfill my destiny and to personally mentor Forex and Commodities traders. When I released the “Broker Nightmare” (software that hides trades from brokers) 8 years ago, I found an overwhelming number of frustrated people who genuinely wanted to learn how to trade the Forex market, but instead found themselves scammed and misled. Over the years I have also release other trading systems based on my trading strategies, and met a lot of people on my worldwide Forex seminars. We’ve formed a close Forex community and we meet once or twice a year in various locations in Europe.

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