Hi Traders! NZDCHF short term forecast and technical analysis post is here. The way I would like to analyze the chart for setups is based on multi-timeframe confirmations because in my POV if we get more evidences on different timeframes for the same direction then it makes the setup much more reliable. If you would like to learn more about the way we trade and the technical analysis we use then check out the Traders Academy Club Spoiler alert – free memberships are available!. Now, let’s start our analysis from the highest timeframe which will be the daily chart here.
On the daily chart, we have a strong resistance zone that has formed and the price which is moving higher has reached this zone, respected it and is bouncing lower from this zone. In addition to this, the price has created a bearish hidden divergence between the first high that has formed at 0.60215 and the second high that has formed at 0.59031 based on the MACD indicator, which we may consider as evidence of bearish pressure. Also, the ADX indicator gave a bearish signal here at the cross of -DI (red line) versus +DI (green line) and the main signal line (silver line) reads value over 25 which we may consider as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. So everything looks good here for the bears and we may now move down to lower timeframe and look for evidences supporting this short term bearish view.
On the H4 chart, we could see that the price which was moving higher has created a bearish divergence between the first high that has formed at 0.58680 and the second high that has formed at 1.58131 based on the MACD indicator. The price then moved lower and broke below the last low at 0.59028 creating lower lows, thus forming a classical setup of bearish divergence followed by bearish convergence, we may consider these as evidences of bearish pressure. Generally, after a bearish convergence we may look for corrections and then further continuation lower. In addition to this, the ADX indicator gave a bearish signal here as well at the cross of -DI (red line) versus +DI (green line) and the main signal line (silver line) reads value over 25 which we may consider as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. Until the strong resistance zone (marked in red) shown in the image below holds my short term view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further after pullbacks.
NZDCHF D1(Daily) Chart Analysis
NZDCHF H4(4 Hours) Chart Analysis
It is always recommended to look for confirmations before you jump into any trade. If you are not sure about how to trade this short term sell setup then you can use any setup and strategy that you have in your arsenal to look for bearish moves and join this sell trade.
Also, don’t forget to protect your sell trade using a stop loss and make sure to set a target and keep a proper risk/reward ratio.
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Arvinth Akash
Traders Academy Club Team
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