Litecoin Short Term Forecast Follow Up And Update

Hi Traders! Litecoin short term forecast follow up and update is here. On January 19th I shared this “Litecoin Short Term Forecast And Technical Analysis” post in our blog. In this post, let’s do a recap of this setup and see how it has developed now. If you would like to learn more about the way we trade and the technical analysis we use then check out the Traders Academy Club. Spoiler alert – free memberships are available!

My Idea

On the H1 chart, the price which is moving lower has created a bearish trend pattern in the form of three lower highs, lower lows which we may consider as evidence of bearish pressure. Generally, after a bearish trend pattern, we may expect corrections and then further continuation lower. Currently, it looks like a correction is happening. Also, the ADX indicator gave a bearish signal here as well at the cross of -DI (red line) versus +DI (green line), and the main signal line (silver line) reads value over 25, we may consider this as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. Until the strong resistance zone (marked in red) shown in the image below holds my short term view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further.

Litecoin H1 (1 Hour) Chart Current Scenario

Based on the above-mentioned analysis, on the H1 chart, my view was bearish and I was expecting the price to move lower further until the strong resistance zone holds. The price action followed my analysis exactly as I expected it to here. After the bearish trend pattern the pullback that I was looking for happened and then the price moved lower further delivering an excellent move to downside!

On the H1 chart, the market provided us with various facts supporting the bearish view. The price which was moving higher created a bearish hidden divergence between the first high that has formed at 153.32 and the second high that has formed at 142.71 based on the MACD indicator, which we may consider as evidence of bearish pressure. The price then moved lower and broke below the most recent uptrend line. We may consider these as facts provided by the market supporting the bearish view and also there we no signs opposing this bearish view. Then as you can see in the image above how the price moved lower further and provided a wonderful move to the downside.

(Note: You can learn about a Killer Forex Strategy “Double Trend Line Principle” here)

As traders we always have two choices, the first one is to fall in love with our analysis and try to convince the market and expect the price to move in the direction as per our wish. The second one is to follow the facts that the market provides us and make the right actions according to that. As you know the first option won’t help us and as you can see in the example above what happened when we followed the facts that the market hinted to us and took the right action according to that.

 

Happy Trading!

Arvinth Akash
Traders Academy Club Team