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This week’s outlook continues to highlight a common theme across the major markets we track:

👉 The higher-timeframe cycles are not complete yet, and short-term strength still appears corrective.

👉 Sell-the-rallies remains the primary plan in most pairs.

Let’s break down each market with a clear, actionable technical outlook.

EUR/USD – Sell the Rallies as the Correction Develops

Higher-Timeframe Outlook

The weekly chart continues to support the larger bullish cycle in the long run.

However, on the daily chart the recent three-wave rally has produced a bearish divergence, suggesting that the corrective structure isn’t complete.

Two corrective paths remain likely:

• ABCD correction before the next bullish continuation, or

  

• Prolonged consolidation before a final drop and then the next leg higher.

  

In both cases, short-term rallies are expected to face selling pressure.

4H Chart – Key Levels

The structure is very clear:
✔️ Lower highs, lower lows — bearish sequence
✔️ Broken support → new resistance
✔️ Supply zones above acting as strong selling areas

Levels to watch for bearish setups:

• 1st supply zone: Previous highs & broken structure

• 2nd supply zone: Higher supply block with repeated seller activity

Trading Plan

Wait for the rally into these zones and look for:
✔️ Bearish divergence on lower timeframes
✔️ Price rejection (lower highs, lower lows restarting)

As long as those conditions align, selling the rallies remains the plan.

GBP/USD – Bearish Pressure Still Not Over

Higher-Timeframe View

Similar to EUR/USD, the Pound’s long-term bullish cycle is still incomplete. However, current momentum continues to point lower in the short term. So basically I am expecting short term bearish moves now before further continuation higher.

Unlike the EUR/USD, GBP/USD already developed two waves down, yet:

• No bullish divergence

• Indicators are still making lower lows

• Price action remains decisively bearish

Daily Chart – Volume Profile “Balance Zone”

The daily chart reveals a massive balance zone created by volume distribution — important for locating future turning points. For now, price is still trading below this zone, confirming short-term bearish bias.

4H Chart – Key Selling Areas

Broken support levels are now acting as resistance. Three main zones remain relevant:

1️⃣ 1.3250 area – first broken support
2️⃣ 1.3320–1.3360 zone – cluster of former lows
3️⃣ 1.3470–1.3520 supply zone – previous swing highs and volume block

Possible Scenarios

• A developing bearish divergence may form soon, indicating a consolidation range before another breakdown.

  

• As long as trend structure stays bearish, sell any short-term rally into the resistance zones.

Plan remains unchanged: Sell the rallies.

EUR/JPY – A Major Long-Term Opportunity Is Forming

Big Picture (Monthly & Weekly)

EUR/JPY continues to show classic signs of a maturing bullish cycle:

✔️ Bearish divergence on MACD developing
✔️ Price printing higher highs, while MACD prepares lower highs

✔️ Weekly candles riding the upper Bollinger Band for 20+ bars — historically followed by meaningful corrections

This is not yet a sell, but it is the early phase of a high-probability long-term reversal setup.

Daily Chart

• Clear bearish divergence building

• Price testing a dynamic resistance line

• Sellers are likely to appear around the psychological 180.00 zone

4H Chart – Timing the Entry

The conditions to watch for:

• Completion of the three-wave structure

• Higher highs on price, but lower highs on MACD

• RSI likely to confirm

• Another Bollinger Band override, similar to previous turning points

Expect the correction toward:

• 178.00

• 177.00

• Possibly 176.00–175.00 in deeper legs

This pair may deliver one of the best setups in the coming weeks — patience is key.

Bitcoin – Bearish Correction Still in Play

Bitcoin’s recent drop should not surprise regular viewers — we highlighted the bearish divergence weeks ago. The long-term bullish cycle is not finished, but the current environment is dominated by downside corrective pressure.

Daily Chart

• Sequence of lower highs & lower lows

• MACD and RSI continuing downward

• No reversal structure yet

Pullbacks are welcome, but they are still expected to attract sellers.

Key Resistance Zones to Sell

1️⃣ $98,000–$99,000 – broken support
2️⃣ $105,000–$107,000 – multi-touch supply zone
3️⃣ $111,000–$116,000 – final resistance cluster from previous highs

Lower Timeframes

We’re starting to see a slowdown, but without confirmation on higher timeframes, it should be treated only as a pullback.

Plan:
Wait for rallies into the resistance zones, look for price rejection, and join the ongoing bearish momentum.

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Wishing you a profitable week ahead!

Vladimir Ribakov
Internationally Certified Financial Technician
Home Trader Club