Welcome to this week’s Forex forecast. In this analysis, we break down the key technical structures, momentum signals, and high-probability trading scenarios across EUR/USD, GBP/USD, Gold, and USD/JPY.

As always, we focus on price structure, divergence, and key levels to identify where the next trading opportunities may develop.

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 Watch the Full Weekly Forecast Video

EUR/USD Forecast – Bearish Pressure Before Potential Bottom Formation

The broader outlook on EUR/USD remains bearish, with price continuing to respect the previously broken support, now acting as resistance.

Key Technical Factors:

• Broken support turned resistance holding firmly
• Supply zone and volume profile reinforcing downside pressure
• Market structure still intact on the bearish side

The expectation remains for further downside continuation, with price potentially:

• Cleaning recent lows
• Extending toward the 1.1140 – 1.1110 zone

What to Watch:

The critical signal will be bullish divergence:

• Lower lows on price
• Higher lows on MACD

This would indicate exhaustion of the bearish move and open the door for a corrective rally toward 1.1500 – 1.1600.

👉 Trading Plan:

• Short-term: Bearish bias (sell rallies)
• Medium-term: Watch for divergence → potential buying opportunity

GBP/USD Forecast – Selling Pressure Continues, But Bottom Formation Near

GBP/USD continues to trade under bearish pressure, despite early signs of bullish divergence and temporary bullish candles.

This indicates that sellers are still in control, increasing the probability of:

• A move toward previous lows
• Possible liquidity sweep below support

Key Technical Levels:

• Retest zone near previous lows
• Weekly support (broken resistance)
• Rising trendline support approaching

Scenario Outlook:

As price approaches these key zones, we expect:

• Rejection signals
• Bullish divergence formation

This would provide a strong case for a bounce toward 1.3300 – 1.3500.

👉 Trading Plan:

• Short-term: Bearish continuation
• At lows: Watch for reversal signals → buy setups

Gold (XAU/USD) Forecast – Sell the Rallies Remains the Strategy

Gold showed signs of sentiment shift during the previous week, but price structure has not yet confirmed a bullish reversal.

Current Structure:

• On lower timeframes (H4), price is forming:
  • Higher highs
  • Higher lows

However, this does not invalidate the broader bearish outlook.

Two Possible Scenarios:

1. Direct rally into supply zones
   • Minor supply followed by major resistance
   • Ideal area for sell opportunities

1. Short-term rejection first, then rally
   • Temporary pullback
   • Followed by move into supply before selling

Key Insight:

Despite short-term bullish structure, the macro view remains “sell the rallies.”

👉 Trading Plan:

• Focus on supply zones
• Look for confirmation before entering short positions

USD/JPY Forecast – Final Push Higher Before Potential Major Reversal

USD/JPY remains one of the most interesting pairs this week, with a potential large reversal setup developing.

Ideal Scenario:

• One final push higher (new high)
• Completion of:
  • Three-wave structure
  • Bearish divergence (price vs MACD)

This would signal a major turning point.

Current Observations:

• Weekly divergence already forming

• Daily divergence developing

Alternative Scenario:

If price fails to make a new high and instead:

• Forms lower highs and lower lows

Then early sell opportunities may emerge.

👉 Trading Plan:

• Preferred: Wait for final high + confirmed divergence → sell
• Alternative: Break of structure → early bearish entries

 Pro Trading Tip

Every forecast above is paired with two scenarios. Why? Because great trading is not about being right — it’s about being ready. Let the market confirm the bias. Use your system, manage risk, and execute only when the structure and confirmation align.

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Wishing you a profitable week ahead!

Vladimir Ribakov
Internationally Certified Financial Technician
Home Trader Club