Hi Traders! Dax short term forecast follow up and update is here. On July 21st I shared this “Dax Short Term Forecast And Technical Analysis” post in our blog. In this post, let’s do a recap of this setup and see how it has developed now. If you would like to learn more about the way we trade and the technical analysis we use then check out the Traders Academy Club. Spoiler alert – free memberships are available!
My Idea:
On the H1 chart, based on the Heikin Ashi candles we can see that currently, we have strong bullish bodies in upward moving market conditions so it basically reflects a bullish environment. Also, the price which is moving higher has created a bullish trend pattern in the form of three higher highs, higher lows, we may consider this as another evidence of bullish pressure. Generally, after a bullish trend pattern, we may expect corrections and then potential continuation higher. Currently, it looks like a correction is happening, also we had two strong resistance zones that has formed and the price which was moving higher has broken above these zones and is holding above them. After the breakout these strong resistance zones are acting as two strong support zones for us. Until both these strong support zones shown in the image below holds my view remains bullish here and I expect the price to move higher further.
Dax H1(1 Hour) Chart Current Scenario
Based on the above-mentioned analysis my short term view was bullish here and I was expecting the price to move higher further until the two strong support zones hold. The price action followed my analysis here exactly as I expected it to. After the bullish trend pattern, we had a pullback with the price creating a bullish divergence between the first low that has formed at 13124.30 and the second low that has formed at 13030.30 based on the MACD indicator. The price then moved higher and broke above the most recent downtrend line, we may consider these as facts provided by the market supporting the bullish view. In addition to this, there were no signs opposing this short term bullish view. Also, the price which was moving lower reached the first strong support zone, respected it and then it bounced higher from this zone and delivered an extraordinary move to the upside, as you can see in the image below!
(Note: You can learn about a Killer Forex Strategy “Double Trend Line Principle” here)
As traders we always have two choices, the first one is to fall in love with our analysis and try to convince the market and expect the price to move in the direction as per our wish. The second one is to follow the facts that the market provides us and make the right actions according to that. As you know the first option won’t help us and as you can see in the example above what happened when we followed the facts that the market hinted to us and took the right action according to that.
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If you have any further questions, don’t hesitate to drop a comment below!
Happy Trading!
Arvinth Akash
Traders Academy Club Team.
