US futures staged a modest rebound on Monday along with stocks in Europe as investors weighed whether last week’s selloff had gone far enough to price in concerns about rising rates and slowing growth.
S&P 500 contracts advanced about 0.7% after the worst week for the underlying gauge since the start of the pandemic. Nasdaq 100 futures rose around 0.5%. A dollar gauge edged lower. Treasury futures were mixed, with no cash trading due to a US holiday.
Banks and energy companies led the advance in the Stoxx Europe 600 index. Basic resources underperformed amid a slump in raw-material prices. Underscoring the uncertainty pervading markets, Swiss engineering group ABB Ltd. declined after postponing a listing of its electric-car charging business, citing volatile conditions.
France’s equity benchmark lagged after President Emmanuel Macron lost his absolute majority in parliament, putting his reform agenda in peril. UK bonds fell as the country faces up to surging inflation and labor strikes as well as a rising risk of recession in a series of setbacks that have echoes of the 1970s.
Volatility measures remain elevated as investors look for an entry point into equity markets roiled by soaring price pressures and worries that aggressive monetary tightening will tip major economies into recession. JPMorgan strategists said pressure on stocks should ease in the second quarter as inflation moderates, but others — including Morgan Stanley — cautioned that more losses may be in store.
“Both prolonged inflation and/or a sharp increase in rates from central banks will have a deep impact on growth perspectives,” Jean-François Paren, global head of market research at Credit Agricole CIB, wrote in a note. “If anything, current valuations are more the ‘exit point’ than the ‘entry point’.”
European bonds were mostly lower after European Central Bank policy maker Martins Kazaks said the central bank is ready to combat unwarranted financial-market moves but must also be prepared to look through turbulence as it exits negative interest rates.
Commodities reflected the concerns around global growth. Crude oil held Friday’s near-7% plunge, iron ore erased all of this year’s gains and copper extended losses for an eighth session after base metals capped the worst weekly losses in a year.
Bitcoin gyrated abive $20,000 after plunging below $18,000 over the weekend. A volatile crypto slump has become emblematic of the pressure on a range of assets from sharp Federal Reserve interest-rate hikes to tame high inflation.
MSCI Inc.’s index of Asian shares dropped for an eighth day, the longest stretch since February 2020. China managed to buck the wider trend, continuing a recent spell of outperformance in part on Beijing’s vows of economic support.
What to watch this week:
- RBA minutes, Governor Philip Lowe due to speak, Tuesday
- Fed Chair Jerome Powell semi-annual Senate testimony, Wednesday
- Bank of Japan April minutes, Wednesday
- Powell US House testimony, Thursday
- US initial jobless claims, Thursday
- PMIs for Eurozone, France, Germany, UK, Australia, Thursday
- ECB economic bulletin, Thursday
- US University of Michigan consumer sentiment, Friday
- RBA’s Lowe speaks on panel, Friday
Some of the main moves in markets:
- Futures on the S&P 500 rose 0.7% as of 9:47 a.m. New York time
- Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.6%
- The Stoxx Europe 600 rose 0.7%
- The MSCI World index rose 0.2%
- The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.2%
- The euro rose 0.2% to $1.0520
- The British pound was little changed at $1.2233
- The Japanese yen was little changed at 135.08 per dollar
- Germany’s 10-year yield advanced five basis points to 1.71%
- Britain’s 10-year yield advanced nine basis points to 2.59%
- West Texas Intermediate crude fell 0.3% to $109.26 a barrel
- Gold futures were little changed