Hi Traders! USDJPY short term forecast update and follow up is here. On October 8th, 2025 I shared this “USDJPY Short Term Forecast And Technical Analysis” post in our blog. In this post, let’s do a recap of this setup and see how it has developed now. If you would like to learn more about the way we trade and the technical analysis we use then check out the Home Trader Club. Spoiler alert – free memberships are available!

Explore My Free Mentorship Program

As an Internationally Certified Financial Technician (CFTe, IFTA) and former private capital hedge fund trader, I have successfully mentored numerous students who are now thriving in the trading world. Students who learned with me, are now full-time traders, work in the trading industry, run their own capital firms or are fully funded traders by private companies, develop automated trading solutions and manage others’ capitals. I am a very proud mentor and I am proud of the success stories I’ve helped create, and for a limited time, I’m offering my mentorship program for free through a partnership with Eight Cap broker. Join Eight Cap, become an active trader, and choose the offer that suits you best –

For more details, visit: Home Trader Club Mentorship Program

I’m excited to work with you and help you reach your desired level of success!

My Idea

On the M15 chart, we have a strong bullish momentum and also currently there are no signs opposing this short term bullish view. So everything looks good for the bulls here as well. In addition to this, we have two key support zones that has formed based on the volume profile zones of the KTLI indicator and the Triple B Pro pivot levels. Until both these key support zones shown in the image below (marked in green) holds my short term view remains bullish here and I expect the price to move higher further after retraces.

USDJPY M15(15 Mins) Chart Current Scenario

In this pair, based on my technical analysis I mentioned that “Until both these key support zones shown in the image below holds my short term view remains bullish here and I expect the price to move higher further after retraces”. The price action followed my analysis exactly as I expected it to here. The price which was moving lower reached the second key support zone, respected it and then moved higher from this zone. The price then moved higher further and delivered 730+ pips move to the upside!

You can see this move clearly on the H4 chart below.

On the M15 chart, the market provided us with various facts supporting the bullish view. The price which was moving lower created a bullish divergence between the first low that has formed at 150.214 and the second low that has formed at 149.370 based on the MACD indicator. The price then moved higher and broke above the most recent downtrend line, we may consider these as facts provided by the market supporting the bullish view. Then as you can see in the image below how the price moved higher after that and provided an excellent move to the upside!

So, traders, this is why I wanted to show this example to help you understand how important it is to follow the facts. The facts were supporting the bullish view here and there were no signs against it. When the facts do happen as we expected you can see how the price perfectly moved as per the plan. Because these are the kind of hints the market provides us with the majority of the time and it’s our obligation as traders to be able to listen to these things that the market tells us and we should try to make the right actions accordingly.

For similar trade ideas and much more I invite you to

Happy Trading!

Arvinth Akash
Home Trader Club Team.