Hi Traders! Ripple short term forecast update and follow up is here. On March 22nd I shared this “Ripple Short Term Forecast And Technical Analysis” post in our blog. In this post, let’s do a recap of this setup and see how it has developed now. If you would like to learn more about the way we trade and the technical analysis we use then check out the Home Trader Club. Spoiler alert – free memberships are available!
My Idea
On the H4 chart, we have a bullish rally and currently, it looks like this bullish rally is about to continue. Based on the Heikin Ashi candles we can see that currently, we have strong bullish bodies in upward-moving market conditions so it basically reflects a bullish environment. In addition to this, we could see that the price which was moving higher has created higher highs based on the MACD indicator, which is a sign of gaining momentum towards the bullish side. Also, the ADX indicator gave a bullish signal here at the cross of +DI (green line) versus -DI (red line) and the main signal line (silver line) reads a value over 25, we may consider this as another evidence of bullish pressure. In addition to this, currently, there are no signs opposing this bullish view. Also, we had two strong resistance zones and the price which was moving higher has broken above these zones and is holding above them. After the breakout, these strong resistance zones are acting as strong support zones for us. So based on all this, until these two strong support zones shown in the image below(marked in green) holds my short-term view remains bullish here and I expect the price to move higher further after pullbacks.
Ripple H4(4 Hours) Chart Current Scenario
On the H4 chart, based on the above-mentioned analysis my short-term view was bullish here and I was expecting the price to move higher further after pullbacks until the two strong support zones hold. After the higher highs, the pullback that I was looking for happened with the price reaching the first strong support zone. The price respected this zone, created a false break of it and then it moved higher further as I expected it to and delivered a fantastic move to the upside!
On the H1 chart, the market provided us with various facts supporting the bullish view. The price which was moving lower created a bullish hidden divergence between the first low that has formed at 0.37069 and the second low that has formed at 0.40808 based on the MACD indicator. The price then moved higher and broke above the most recent downtrend line, we may consider these as facts provided by the market supporting the bullish view. Then as you can see in the image below how the price moved higher after that and provided a fantastic move to the upside!
As traders we always have two choices, the first one is to fall in love with our analysis and try to convince the market and expect the price to move in the direction per our wish. The second one is to follow the facts that the market provides us and make the right actions according to that. As you know the first option won’t help us and as you can see in the example above what happened when we followed the facts that the market hinted to us and took the right action according to that.
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Happy Trading!
Arvinth Akash
Home Trader Club Team.
