Hi Traders! Weekly summary and review July 9th, 2021 is here. It is now time to recap and summarize the trade setups that we had during this week. Below you will find the short explanation of all the trade setups we had in this week and how it has currently developed now.
Trading Ideas (Blog Posts)
NZDUSD – My ideas here was “On the H4 chart the price which was moving lower has created a bearish trend pattern in the form of three lower highs, lower lows which we may consider as evidence of bearish pressure. Generally, after a bearish trend pattern, we may expect corrections and then further continuation lower. Currently it looks like a correction is happening. Also, while measuring the first wave of this correction using the Fibonacci expansion tool, we could see that the 100%(0.71188) Fibonacci expansion level of this first wave coincides with a strong resistance zone which makes this a key resistance zone for us. Also, we could see that the 161.8%(0.72248) Fibonacci expansion level of this first wave and the daily downtrend line coincides with the second resistance zone which makes this area a second key resistance zone for us. Until both these key resistance zones hold my view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further”.
Current Scenario – On the H4 chart my view was bearish and I was expecting the price to move lower further until the key resistance zones hold. The price action followed my analysis exactly as I expected it to here. The price which was moving higher reached the first key resistance zone, respected it and moved lower from this zone. The price then moved lower further as I expected it to and delivered 180+ pips move so far.
You can find a detailed explanation regarding this here
NZDJPY – My idea here was “On the H4 chart, the price which was moving lower has created a bearish trend pattern in the form of three lower highs, lower lows which we may consider as evidence of bearish pressure. Generally, after a bearish trend pattern, we may expect corrections and then further continuation lower. Currently it looks like a correction is happening. Also, while measuring the first wave of this correction using the Fibonacci expansion tool, we could see that the 100%(78.484) Fibonacci expansion level of this first wave coincides with a strong resistance zone which makes this area a key resistance zone for us. The price reached this key resistance zone, respected it and is moving lower from this zone. We also have a bearish divergence that has formed between the first high that has formed at 78.475 and the second high that has formed at 78.764 based on the MACD indicator. The price then moved lower and broke below the most recent uptrend line and currently it looks like a pullback is happening. We may consider these as other evidences of bearish pressure. Until the key resistance zone holds my view remains bearish here and if we get a valid breakout below the low at 77.323 we may then consider it as a validation for the bearish view and may expect the price to continue lower further”.
Current Scenario – In this pair the validation for the bearish view which is a valid breakout below the low at 77.323 happened as I expected it to. The price then moved lower further and delivered 130+ pips move so far.
Current Scenario – Based on the above-mentioned analysis my was bullish here and I was expecting the price to move higher further until the strong support zone holds. My plan still remains the same here.
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To your success,
Vladimir Ribakov
Certified Financial Technician