Hello traders, Vladimir here from Home Trader Club with your Forex Weekly Forecast and professional trading plan for the week of June 2–6, 2025. In this outlook, we’ll cover the technical and fundamental landscape for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold (XAU/USD) — with actionable trading scenarios and price levels to watch.

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Before we dive into the charts, let’s quickly talk about the macro backdrop — which has been anything but boring.

🌐 Macro Update: US-China Tensions & Legal Drama

Last week, the markets reacted to significant political developments. A U.S. court ruling effectively blocked President Trump’s tariff actions, citing them as unconstitutional. This has sparked a new wave of rhetoric about “finding a way,” claims of corruption, and more expected drama ahead.

Trump, true to form, escalated rhetoric on China, suggesting the trade deal was broken and threatening renewed tariffs. This injects renewed volatility and uncertainty, setting the stage for possible risk-on/risk-off sentiment swings in the coming weeks.

💶 EUR/USD – Decision Time Nears

The Euro-Dollar is at a critical juncture. Last week, we highlighted two scenarios — a short-term dip before an upside rally, or a continuation of the downtrend. This week, price action is testing a major supply zone with volume profile resistance.

✅ Bullish Scenario:

• If EUR/USD breaks above the volume profile zone, we could see a rally toward 1.17–1.19, completing the long-term divergence structure.

❌ Bearish Scenario:

• If price fails to break higher and resumes forming lower highs/lower lows, we look to sell rallies and aim for the completion of the ABCD bearish pattern from the higher timeframes.

📊 Trend Snapshot:

• Monthly: Flat (±0%)

• Weekly: +0.5%

• Daily: Flat
  This tells us: The pair is coiled — awaiting a breakout.

💷 GBP/USD – Final Rally or Deeper Correction?

Last week, we discussed a potential daily bearish divergence forming on the Pound. Now, the pair trades near a key support cluster between 1.3340–1.3400, aligning with:

• Rising trendline

• Retest of broken resistance as support

• Local demand zones

🔼 First Scenario:

• If price forms a clear ABCD correction, holds this zone, and climbs, we may see a final push higher before the bearish divergence plays out.

🔽 Alternative Scenario:

• A false breakout, followed by a zigzag corrective structure and breakdown below the trendline, could lead to a deeper correction toward 1.32 or even 1.30.

📊 Trend Snapshot:

• Monthly: Mildly Bullish

  

• Weekly: Flat
  Similar to EUR/USD, the pair is slowing down and primed for movement.

💴 USD/JPY – Sell the Rallies Remains the Plan

Last week, we saw USD/JPY rally into a resistance zone we marked in advance. The result?

• Bearish hidden divergence

• Volume profile confluence

• Broken support turned resistance

My View:

Still bearish short-term, aiming for another leg lower to complete the ABCD move

and form a bullish divergence on the daily.

So, I am after sells here, the ideal scenario here is I expect the price to create an ABCD correction or some sort of a range and the price to continue to the downside.

📊 Trend Shift:

• Monthly: Transitioning from bullish to mildly bearish
  This shift often precedes a larger correction. I continue to sell the rallies until we reach the key trendline/demand level on the higher time frame.

🪙 Gold (XAU/USD) – Structural Breakdown or Final Surge?

Gold is forming lower highs and lower lows, maintaining a corrective structure. We are trading near key trendline resistance with volume profile alignment.

📉 Bearish Scenario:

• • As long as this trendline holds, the structure supports continued downside movement.

📈 Bullish Trigger:

• If Gold breaks above the trendline and volume zone, look to buy dips toward the previous high.

   

  

   

  With potential to complete the divergence on the daily chart.

🕰 High Time Frame Context:

We are bouncing off overbought zones on both the weekly and monthly charts, suggesting a larger correction is still on the table — but it may be delayed if the bulls take short-term control.

🔧 Pro Trading Tip

Every forecast above is paired with two scenarios. Why? Because great trading is not about being right — it’s about being ready. Let the market confirm the bias. Use your system, manage risk, and execute only when the structure and confirmation align.

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Wishing you a profitable week ahead!

Vladimir Ribakov
Internationally Certified Financial Technician
Home Trader Club

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