Technical Analysis – Bitcoin Short And Mid Term Forecast

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Bitcoin Forecast Follow Up And Update

Hi Traders! Bitcoin short and mid term forecast is here. The way I would like to analyze the chart for setups is based on multi-timeframe confirmations because in my POV if we get more evidences on different timeframes for the same direction then it makes the setup much more reliable. If you would like to learn more about the way we trade and the technical analysis we use then check out the Traders Academy Club Spoiler alert – free memberships are available! Let’s start our analysis from the highest timeframe which will be the daily chart here.

Bitcoin D1(Daily) Chart Analysis – Bearish Convergence, Stochastic Oscillator

On the daily chart, we had a strong bullish rally, currently it looks like this bullish rally has completed itself and a correction is happening. We could see that the price which was moving higher has created a bearish divergence between the first high that has formed at 66865.36 and the second high that has formed at 68827.20 based on the MACD indicator. The price then moved lower and broke below the last low at 57567.60 thus forming a classical setup of bearish divergence followed by bearish convergence, we may consider these as evidences of bearish pressure. Generally, after a bearish convergence we may look for corrections and then further continuation lower. Also, based on the Stochastic Oscillator we could see that the price has reached its extreme which we may consider as an evidence favoring the short term bullish view.
Technical Analysis - Bitcoin Short And Mid Term Forecast

 

Bitcoin H4(4 Hours) Chart Analysis – Bearish Trend Pattern, Key Support Zone, Bullish Divergence

Looking at the H4 chart, we could see that the price which was moving lower has created a bearish trend pattern in the form of three lower highs, lower lows which we may consider as evidence of bearish pressure. Generally, after a bearish trend pattern, we may expect corrections and then further continuation lower. Also, while measuring the first two waves of this bearish trend pattern using the Fibonacci expansion tool we have a key support zone that has formed based on the 161.8%(55138.36) Fibonacci expansion level of the first wave and the 61.8%(53392.19) Fibonacci expansion level of the second wave. Price has currently reached this key support zone and in addition to this, we have a bullish divergence that has formed between the first low that has formed at 55609.76 and the second low that has formed at 55392.00 based on the MACD and RSI indicator which we may consider as evidence of bullish pressure. So based on all this, my short expectation is bullish and my mid term expectation is bearish here.
Technical Analysis - Bitcoin Short And Mid Term Forecast

Technical Analysis & Forecast Summary

Bitcoin D1(Daily) Chart Analysis 

  • Bearish Convergence, Stochastic Oscillator

Bitcoin H4(4 Hours) Chart Analysis 

  • Bearish Trend Pattern, Key Support Zone, Bullish Divergence

Trading Tips

It is always recommended to look for confirmations before you jump into any trade. If you are not sure about how to trade this short term buy and mid term sell setup then you can use any setup and strategy that you have in your arsenal to look for bullish and bearish moves and join this buy and sell trade.

Also, don’t forget to protect your trade using a stop loss and make sure to set a target and keep a proper risk/reward ratio.

You will also find a pretty extensive database of educational materials here in the blog – just use the search or check out the Forex Education section above.

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Happy Trading!

Arvinth Akash
Traders Academy Club Team

 

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