Hi Traders! Arvinth here from the Home Trader Club team. The weekly summary and, review of April 21st 2023 is here. It is now time to recap and summarize the trade setups that we had during this week. Below you will find a short explanation of all the trade setups we had this week and how it has currently developed now.

Trading Ideas (Blog Posts)

GBPNZD – My idea here was “On the H1 chart, the price which was moving higher has created a bearish divergence between the first high that has formed at 2.00882 and the second high that has formed at 2.01288 based on the MACD indicator. The price then moved lower and broke below the last low at 1.99664 thus forming a classical setup of bearish divergence followed by bearish convergence, we may consider these as evidences of bearish pressure. In addition to this, the price has also broken below the most recent uptrend line which we may consider as another evidence of bearish pressure. Generally, after a bearish convergence we may look for corrections and then further continuation lower. Currently, it looks like a correction is happening and in addition to this, the price has created a bearish hidden divergence that has formed between the first high that has formed at 2.01288 and the second high that has formed at 2.00232 followed by a regular bearish divergence between the first high formed at 2.00232 and the second high that has formed at 2.00950 based on the MACD indicator which we may consider as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. So everything looks good here for the bears and until the strong resistance zone (marked in red) shown in the image below holds my short term view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further”.

Current Scenario – Based on the above-mentioned analysis my short term view was bearish here and I was expecting the price to move lower further until the strong resistance zone holds. The price action didn’t follow my analysis here and this idea failed as the price moved higher and broke above the strong resistance zone and is holding above it, thus invalidating this short term bearish view. My current view on this pair is neutral.

GBPAUD – My idea here was “On the H1 chart, the price which is moving lower has created a bearish trend pattern in the form of three lower highs, and lower lows which we may consider as evidence of bearish pressure. Generally, after a bearish trend pattern, we may expect corrections and then a further continuation lower. Currently, it looks like a correction is happening. Also, we had two strong support zones that have formed, the price moved lower broke below these zones and is holding below them, we may consider this as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. Currently, these strong support zones are acting as strong resistance zones for us. So the bottom line here is that the H1 chart has evidences supporting the bearish view. Until the two strong resistance zones (marked in red) shown in the image below hold my short-term view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further”.

Current Scenario – In GBPAUD, on the H1 chart, my short-term view was bearish and I was expecting the price to move lower further until the two strong resistance zones hold. The price action followed my analysis exactly as I expected it to here. After the bearish trend pattern, the pullback that I was looking for happened with the price reaching the first strong resistance zone, respected it and moved lower from this zone. The price then moved lower further and delivered 160+ pips move to the downside!

Litecoin – My idea here was “On the the H1 chart, we could see that the price which is moving higher has created a bearish divergence between the first high that has formed at 101.95 and the second high that has formed at 103.22 based on the MACD indicator, followed by a strong bearish move which we may consider as evidence of bearish pressure. Also, based on the Heikin Ashi candles we can see that currently, we have strong bearish bodies in downward moving market conditions so it basically reflects a bearish environment. In addition to this, the ADX indicator gave a bearish signal here as well at the cross of -DI (red line) versus +DI (green line) and the main signal line (silver line) reads value over 25 which we may consider as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. Currently, it looks like a correction is happening. Also, we had two strong support zones that have formed, the price moved lower broke below these zones and is holding below them, we may consider this as yet another evidence of bearish pressure. Currently, these strong support zones are acting as strong resistance zones for us. So the bottom line here is that the H1 chart has evidences supporting the bearish view. Until the two strong resistance zones (marked in red) shown in the image below hold my short-term view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further”.

Current Scenario – In my Litecoin short-term forecast I mentioned that, until the two strong resistance zones hold my short-term view remains bearish here and I expect the price to move lower further. After the strong bearish move the pullback that I was looking for happened and then the price moved lower further and delivered a nice move to the downside so far as you can see in the image below.

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